supernova72
Recycles dryer sheets
Welcome to the forum.
We've had several recent threads on "is $3MM enough to retire on?" Generally, people are told they have plenty to retire on but the secret to success is controlling spending. You have a pretty high spending target which is a stretch on your $3MM. You have to ask yourself how much ER means to you.
I think the college costs are probably a little less than what you show but it won't make a material difference.
A FireCalc result of 94% is probably adequate if you are prepared to possibly cut expenses if you find yourself getting low returns in your first decade of retirement. I'm also confused by what you mean by the $140k after tax in 2016. Is this a deferred compensation payout? Have you plugged the higher medical costs into your expenses and FireCalc run? The "classic" 4% rule would say you could withdraw $120,000/yr which is before taxes.
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+1
It seems lately the "I have 3M+ and wonder if I can retire" are coming in like gang busters. Must admit it's a bit demorializing to me and at times comes across like "I have a Dodge Challenger Hellcat and wonder if it will hit 100mph?" When we all know it will go about 205mph
Call me a whiner but for someone who has only 700K and a 36K pension and is considering retirement---uh--well. Yes if you have 3M u can retire and spend 120k a year.