 |
|
Big Earthquake in Cali...somewhere 3/19-3/26
03-18-2011, 06:50 PM
|
#1
|
|
Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 968
|
Big Earthquake in Cali...somewhere 3/19-3/26
http://www.foxbusiness.com/on-air/ca...erica-imminent
I do not like Fox, and do not believe most of what they say. But this sure would stink up the markets just before our retirement in April! :-)
|
|
|
 |
Join the #1 Early Retirement and Financial Independence Forum Today - It's Totally Free!
Are you planning to be financially independent as early as possible so you can live life on your own terms? Discuss successful investing strategies, asset allocation models, tax strategies and other related topics in our online forum community. Our members range from young folks just starting their journey to financial independence, military retirees and even multimillionaires. No matter where you fit in you'll find that Early-Retirement.org is a great community to join. Best of all it's totally FREE!
You are currently viewing our boards as a guest so you have limited access to our community. Please take the time to register and you will gain a lot of great new features including; the ability to participate in discussions, network with our members, see fewer ads, upload photographs, create a retirement blog, send private messages and so much, much more!
|
|
03-18-2011, 08:41 PM
|
#2
|
|
Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 17,774
|
That video was made March 2, 2010--sooner or later they'll be right.
__________________
“Would you like an adventure now, or would you like to have your tea first?” J.M. Barrie, Peter Pan
|
|
|
|
|
03-18-2011, 09:00 PM
|
#3
|
|
Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Portland
Posts: 4,946
|
They moved it...
Big California Earthquake Imminent? - Fox News Video - FoxNews.com
The prediction was made March 2, 2010. Any time now. Imminent. Yup. Aaaany time now... 
Earthquakes are a real risk, but I have my doubts about calling it to a few days or weeks. The Fox newsreaders think calling it to a few days is fine. The geophysicist they interview thinks calling it to a few decades is reasonable.
|
|
|
|
|
03-18-2011, 11:52 PM
|
#4
|
|
Confused about dryer sheets
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 6
|
 Quote:
Originally Posted by bizlady
I do not like Fox, and do not believe most of what they say. But this sure would stink up the markets just before our retirement in April! :-)
|
Heh heh.. funny... I like Fox and believe most of what they say, but I am not so sure about this geophysicist's prediction 
|
|
|
|
|
03-19-2011, 12:04 AM
|
#5
|
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: North of Montana
Posts: 2,769
|
I think Shakespeare wrote a play about it (at least this guy's predictions, anyway).
__________________
There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate conclusions from insufficient data and ..
|
|
|
|
|
03-19-2011, 12:16 AM
|
#6
|
|
Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: Smith
Posts: 743
|
Is that the guy that predicted the World Series quake in 89? He was dead on then, but quake prediction isn't exactly a science. Not much you can do about if it does happen anyway except ride it out and hope for the best.
__________________
Retired July 4th, 2010 at age 43
Trout Bum, Writer, Full-Time Dad and Husband
|
|
|
|
|
03-19-2011, 05:27 AM
|
#7
|
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: NC
Posts: 21,303
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by flyfishnevada
Not much you can do about if it does happen anyway except ride it out and hope for the best.
|
That's what always crosses my mind when I read these stories. It's very old news to begin with and what exactly do they think people are going to do with the info even if it is correct?
__________________
No one agrees with other people's opinions; they merely agree with their own opinions -- expressed by somebody else. Sydney Tremayne
Retired Jun 2011 at age 57
Target AA: 50% equity funds / 45% bonds / 5% cash
Target WR: Approx 1.5% Approx 20% SI (secure income, SS only)
|
|
|
|
|
03-19-2011, 08:09 AM
|
#8
|
|
Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 968
|
Where do you see the March 2 2010 date??
|
|
|
|
|
03-19-2011, 08:27 AM
|
#9
|
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 6,506
|
The most current info from USGS, for state of California USA. Not yet updated for tomorrow.
24-Hour Aftershock Forecast Map
__________________
There must be moderation in everything, including moderation.
|
|
|
|
|
03-19-2011, 09:00 AM
|
#10
|
|
Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 17,774
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by bizlady
Where do you see the March 2 2010 date??
|
To the left at the top of the page--looks like several of us noticed it:
Quote:
Latest News
Big California Earthquake Imminent?
Mar 2, 2010 - 2:57 - Geophysicist on quake risk in Calif.
|
So I think you're probably as safe to retire next month as ever.
__________________
“Would you like an adventure now, or would you like to have your tea first?” J.M. Barrie, Peter Pan
|
|
|
|
|
03-19-2011, 09:41 AM
|
#11
|
|
gone traveling
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Eastern PA
Posts: 3,851
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by bizlady
I do not like Fox, and do not believe most of what they say.
|
Which Fox are you talking about?
Fox Show Sites
Fox Networks
 ...
|
|
|
|
|
03-19-2011, 12:11 PM
|
#12
|
|
Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Portland
Posts: 4,946
|
I like the evening comedy lineup on Fox News...
|
|
|
|
|
03-19-2011, 12:37 PM
|
#13
|
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 6,506
|
When I watch, I like the foxy foxes on FOX.
__________________
There must be moderation in everything, including moderation.
|
|
|
|
|
03-19-2011, 12:53 PM
|
#14
|
|
Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Sep 2008
Posts: 274
|
It is probably a good reminder to either stock up or check your supply of things that should be stockpiled in case the "big one" does hit. I've been reading that a lot of Japanese are without food and water. I always keep a supply of canned goods and a 5 gallon bottle of drinking water stored in my shed next to my camping equipment.
I pretty sure Fox does not have any special earthquake prediction talent, but the chances are pretty good that California is going to get a major earthquake before you die of natural causes.
|
|
|
|
|
03-20-2011, 10:42 AM
|
#15
|
|
gone traveling
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Eastern PA
Posts: 3,851
|
News is OK, IMHO.
When you get to folks like Beck and Hannity, it is a bit hard to take (and this, from a FOX viewer, of many of their entertainment, news, and opinion offerings).
I do like Shep for his expanded news show (60 minutes) which covers more than the "clips" covered by the "big 3" networks.
To set the record straight, I'm a libertarian at heart. When they get their own channel, I'll start watching them. At least FOX has a libertarian show on their network - Stossel. Close enough to keep my interest.
|
|
|
|
|
03-20-2011, 02:27 PM
|
#16
|
|
Dryer sheet aficionado
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Budapest
Posts: 30
|
Unfortunately, not only the markets but health as well. I don't think we can see yet the extent its "ripples" will affect all of us globally.
__________________
"When a mystery is too overpowering, one dare not disobey." The Little Prince
|
|
|
|
|
03-20-2011, 02:29 PM
|
#17
|
|
Dryer sheet aficionado
Join Date: Mar 2011
Location: Budapest
Posts: 30
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Isadora
Unfortunately, not only the markets but health as well. I don't think we can see yet the extent its "ripples" will affect all of us globally.
|
Sorry, sorry - you said California, I'm still thinking of the Japanese events.
__________________
"When a mystery is too overpowering, one dare not disobey." The Little Prince
|
|
|
|
|
03-20-2011, 04:03 PM
|
#18
|
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,083
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Midpack
That's what always crosses my mind when I read these stories. It's very old news to begin with and what exactly do they think people are going to do with the info even if it is correct?
|
Reliable quake prediction can save many lives. IF you can get 30 seconds advance warning (I believe this is what they had in Japan??) surgeons can remove scalpels from patients. Drivers can pull over. Trains can slow down or even stop.
Predictions such as the above (likely to happen sometime over a week) are pretty useless.
__________________
"We do not inherit the earth from our ancestors, we borrow it from our children.
(Ancient Indian Proverb)"
|
|
|
|
|
03-20-2011, 04:29 PM
|
#19
|
|
Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jan 2007
Posts: 398
|
I don't understand the criticism of this Fox News interview. It was a very accurate representation of earthquake forecasting knowledge for the western United States. Primary areas of concern include the southern San Andreas fault (mostly southern California), the Cascadia subduction zone (e.g., Washington and Oregon), and the Hayward fault (San Francisco Bay Area). The person being interviewed, Ken Hudnut, clearly stated that earthquake "prediction" efforts focus on long timescale forecasts. Often, the USGS and others use 30-year prediction windows (e.g., there is a 63% chance of a large M > 6.7 earthquake in the San Francisco Bay Area in the next 30 years).
|
|
|
|
|
03-20-2011, 09:14 PM
|
#20
|
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 12,880
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shawn
I don't understand the criticism of this Fox News interview.
|
I think there was some other story involving a prediction within a week, and that link was lost or broken.
You certainly can predict tsunamis. Here is the tsunami warning siren in Japan following the big quake. No one seems to be doing anything, perhaps the video isn't in a low-lying area??
__________________
Al
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
|
|
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
|
» Recent Threads
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
» Quick Links
|
|
|
Linear Mode
