View Poll Results: Who will become the democratic nominee?
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Hillary Clinton
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16 |
27.59% |
Barack Obama
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42 |
72.41% |
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Democratic Nominee Prediction
03-26-2008, 12:11 PM
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#1
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 12,880
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Democratic Nominee Prediction
This poll is not about who you prefer, it's who you think will will.
__________________
Al
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03-26-2008, 12:25 PM
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#2
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: North Oregon Coast
Posts: 16,483
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I get the feeling that Clinton is the "machine" candidate and is more likely to get the backing of the machine. As Obama's momentum faded in Texas and Ohio and likely to lose more steam in PA and elsewhere, and fueled by the Wright and "typical white person" gaffe, the Democrats will use that as a justification that only Hillary can beat John McCain in November, and use carrots and sticks to convince the superdelegates to go that way.
Just my prediction, and worth what you paid for it.
__________________
"Hey, for every ten dollars, that's another hour that I have to be in the work place. That's an hour of my life. And my life is a very finite thing. I have only 'x' number of hours left before I'm dead. So how do I want to use these hours of my life? Do I want to use them just spending it on more crap and more stuff, or do I want to start getting a handle on it and using my life more intelligently?" -- Joe Dominguez (1938 - 1997)
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03-26-2008, 02:07 PM
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#3
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: mpls, mn
Posts: 761
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What a shock it will be when Obama goes into the convention with more delegates and when all is said and done Clinton comes out with the nomination. There will be many unhappy and distrusting democrats out there.
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03-26-2008, 02:15 PM
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#4
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Texas: No Country for Old Men
Posts: 50,000
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mn54
What a shock it will be when Obama goes into the convention with more delegates and when all is said and done Clinton comes out with the nomination. There will be many unhappy and distrusting democrats out there.
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Hey, if it was good enough for the general election, it should be good enough for the Deomocratic primary...
__________________
Numbers is hard
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03-26-2008, 02:18 PM
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#5
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 4,764
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mn54
What a shock it will be when Obama goes into the convention with more delegates and when all is said and done Clinton comes out with the nomination. There will be many unhappy and distrusting democrats out there.
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Not gonna happen. You cannot stop the Obama you can only hope to contain him.
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03-26-2008, 02:22 PM
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#6
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 3,895
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at first i thought clinton, but now i don't get much of a feel for this at all except that regardless of what candidate runs from which ever direction, this election will be like stepping onto a rug without a non-slip pad under it.
__________________
"off with their heads"~~dr. joseph-ignace guillotin
"life should begin with age and its privileges and accumulations, and end with youth and its capacity to splendidly enjoy such advantages."~~mark twain - letter to edward kimmitt 1901
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03-26-2008, 02:53 PM
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#7
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: South Texas~29N/98W Just West of Woman Hollering Creek
Posts: 6,668
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Do not count out Al Gore. No doubt he is out their lurking in the weeds, right next to the iceberg.
__________________
Part-Owner of Texas
Outside of a dog, a book is man's best friend. Inside of a dog, it's too dark to read. Groucho Marx
In dire need of: faster horses, younger woman, older whiskey, more money.
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03-26-2008, 03:00 PM
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#8
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 2,433
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With the way the delegates are apportioned (i.e. no winner-take-all primaries), I think it is virtually impossible for Hillary to pass Obama in pledged delegates. The only way she could win the nomination is to pass Obama in total votes (she currently trails by some 600,000), which would give the machine superdelegates maneuvering room to vote for her. I don't believe the superdelegates will be able to vote against Obama, if he has more pledged delegates plus has more total votes.
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03-26-2008, 03:15 PM
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#9
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 7,733
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My prediction is that Clintons will make sure that their superdelgates have a majority on the credential committees. The committee will in turn come up with a creative compromise that allows the seating of the MI and FL delgates. This will result in a near tie on pledged delgates.
The remaining superdelgate will admire/fear the Clinton's cleverness and she will win on the second ballot.
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03-26-2008, 04:08 PM
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#10
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 4,764
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My girl Hillary is feisty and has moxie but I think she is no match for the Obamanator.
Of course she might have a lil shawk and aww left in the old gal.
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03-26-2008, 04:27 PM
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#11
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 297
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ziggy29
As Obama's momentum faded in Texas and Ohio and likely to lose more steam in PA and elsewhere...
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Obama didn't lose any momentum. He is exactly as far ahead in pledged delegates now as he was after Super Tuesday. Don't just eat up the media narrative so easily.
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03-26-2008, 08:42 PM
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#12
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: North Oregon Coast
Posts: 16,483
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Quote:
Originally Posted by igsoy
Obama didn't lose any momentum. He is exactly as far ahead in pledged delegates now as he was after Super Tuesday. Don't just eat up the media narrative so easily.
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Momentum is more than delegate count. Losing big states -- even if close in terms of popular vote and delegate count -- is something that matters, especially in states like Ohio and (potentially) Pennsylvania which have a large number of electoral votes and can typically swing either way in any given November.
__________________
"Hey, for every ten dollars, that's another hour that I have to be in the work place. That's an hour of my life. And my life is a very finite thing. I have only 'x' number of hours left before I'm dead. So how do I want to use these hours of my life? Do I want to use them just spending it on more crap and more stuff, or do I want to start getting a handle on it and using my life more intelligently?" -- Joe Dominguez (1938 - 1997)
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03-27-2008, 12:20 AM
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#13
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 415
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__________________
Mens ability to see the future is limited by their horizons of today!
Unknown!
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03-27-2008, 01:27 AM
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#14
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Feb 2007
Posts: 5,072
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It may not matter too much who winds up being the Dem nominee. It is a year of throw the jerks out.
This year is a vote against incumbents. In the white house... Republicans are the incumbents.
If it is Obama that is nominated... the majority people will vote for Obama. If it is Clinton... then Clinton will be President.
McCain has an uphill battle. He is not very likely to win.
And in a way who wins is not a big issue. We cannot do anything but improve out situation from where we are today. since GWB has been such a complete disappointment and failed at some many levels (he will wear the label of the worst president of the 21st century)... We can't help but do better.
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