Easy though it is to bash the French (I do it regularly), I don't think it's justified here:
- Keeping NATO out, formally, makes sense. Germany and Turkey, among other NATO member states, are not fully on board with this operation, which is in support of a UN resolution. NATO members have a treaty obligation to defend each other if they are attacked, which is manifestly not the case here.
- France has taken a leading role on the Libya question since the start. I suppose that this might well be with some gentle hints from the US, as it allowed the Obama administration to stay on the fence for some time - which, given their need to stay close to Israel and not be seen to repeat the mistakes of Iraq, is probably the right thing to have done.
- I'm very tired of every foreign policy intervention in the world being described as being "about oil", as if there is any precedent for it. Firstly, if it was about oil, the West should logically be propping up Gaddafi. Secondly, Libya's oil production dropped to almost zero several weeks ago, and all that happened was that the Saudis opened the taps a little.
Libya has to sell its oil to someone, and there is no OPEC domination today like there was in the 1970s. Even if fundamentalists take over every country in the Middle East, they will sell their oil to someone, and every barrel that China or Japan buys from them is a barrel less that they aren't buying from other countries who will supply it to us.
I remember, on the day the 2003 Iraq war started, receiving two Powerpoint files on the same day. One was a paranoid rant about how George Bush was invading Iraq to take control of its oil, force down the world price, and thus get re-elected on the back of cheap gas. The other was a paranoid rant about how George Bush was invading Iraq to take control of its oil, force up the world price, and thus make lots of money for himself and his Texas oil friends. I'm fairly confident that at least one of those was wrong. (I preferred the explanation that George Bush was an idiot.
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