ERD50
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
High Battery Cost Curbs Electric Cars - WSJ.com
This article reflects what I've been saying that subsidies are not going to speed up Electric Vehicle development much at all.
I just can't see what we get from a $7,500 subsidy for people to buy an EV. That incremental sale isn't going to get you $7,500 worth of development. It would be better to just spend even half that on battery development directly, if that is the goal.
-ERD50
This article reflects what I've been saying that subsidies are not going to speed up Electric Vehicle development much at all.
"Economies of scale are often cited as a factor that can drive down costs, but hundreds of millions to billions of ... [battery] cells already are being produced in optimized factories. Building more factories is unlikely to have a great impact on costs," the Academies report said.
The U.S. Department of Energy has set a goal of bringing down car-battery costs by 70% from last year's price by 2014.
Jay Whitacre, a battery researcher and technology policy analyst at Carnegie Mellon University, said ... "it will be a decade at least" before that price reduction is reached.
"The cost reductions aren't attainable even in the next 10 years," said Menahem Anderman, principal of Total Battery Consulting Inc., a California-based battery research firm.
Unlike with tires or toasters, battery packs aren't likely to enjoy traditional economies of scale as their makers ramp up production, the scientists and engineers say.
I just can't see what we get from a $7,500 subsidy for people to buy an EV. That incremental sale isn't going to get you $7,500 worth of development. It would be better to just spend even half that on battery development directly, if that is the goal.
-ERD50