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Re: Stock Market Contest
Old 11-23-2005, 12:41 PM   #81
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Re: Stock Market Contest

Too many cheeseburgers...

...yah, I have no chance of winning, somebody who will remain nameless punked my guess "price is right" style.
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Re: Stock Market Contest
Old 11-23-2005, 12:44 PM   #82
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Re: Stock Market Contest

Laurence,

I want to get into the contest but would like to make my guesses on Dec. 31st.
At least I would have a shot at winning at that point.
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Re: Stock Market Contest
Old 11-23-2005, 12:57 PM   #83
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Re: Stock Market Contest

Quote:
Originally Posted by Laurence
...yah, I have no chance of winning, somebody who will remain nameless punked my guess "price is right" style.
I punked you all. If the dow ends between 11050 and infinity, I get the new mustang.
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Re: Stock Market Contest
Old 11-23-2005, 01:21 PM   #84
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Re: Stock Market Contest

Quote:
Originally Posted by 73ss454
Remember what Yogi said.

It's not over till it's over!
Quote:
Originally Posted by WhodaThunkit
Wasn't there something about a fat lady singing
Actually, it was sportscaster Dan Cook who is credited with the saying "It ain't over 'til the fat lady sings." Yogi does get credit for "It ain't over 'til it's over."

But "Wheat bread keeps me up at night", well that's from our own Jarhead.


http://www.worldwidewords.org/qa/qa-ita1.htm

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Re: Stock Market Contest
Old 11-23-2005, 04:41 PM   #85
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Re: Stock Market Contest

Well, I'd have to research the old board,but I predicted north of 11000 by years end... way back....
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Re: Stock Market Contest
Old 11-28-2005, 02:10 PM   #86
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Re: Stock Market Contest

Quote:
Originally Posted by Laurence
Too many cheeseburgers...

...yah, I have no chance of winning, somebody who will remain nameless punked my guess "price is right" style.*
Hmmmmm after the named person in this quote punked me... but then again, I did it to someone else
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Re: Stock Market Contest
Old 11-28-2005, 02:34 PM   #87
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Re: Stock Market Contest

Quote:
Originally Posted by Texas Proud
Hmmmmm after the named person in this quote punked me... but then again, I did it to someone else* *
Oh, yeah, did I do that?
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Re: Stock Market Contest
Old 11-28-2005, 03:49 PM   #88
 
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Re: Stock Market Contest

Is that the official term, "punk"?

Most people don't realize the advantage of this technique. For example, I'll see some contest on TV (e.g. Jay Leno), "How long do you think it will take that dog to eat a bowl of cookies?" Person one guesses 20 seconds, then person two guesses 58 seconds. Person two should have guessed 20.1 seconds.
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Re: Stock Market Contest
Old 11-28-2005, 04:00 PM   #89
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Re: Stock Market Contest

Everybody on the Price is right has it down, maybe it attracts above average I.Q. types?

You haven't seen that show "punked" with Aston Kutcher?

"Jacked" is another term. "Took" is another, as in, "that fool got took!"
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Re: Stock Market Contest
Old 11-28-2005, 04:08 PM   #90
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Re: Stock Market Contest

pwned is another, as in "he he, that n00b got pwned".
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Re: Stock Market Contest
Old 12-26-2005, 06:47 PM   #91
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Re: Stock Market Contest

The Numbers as of Dec 23


Light, Sweet Crude Oil (Nymex) 58.43
Gold (Comex) 505.20
Henry Hub Natural Gas (Nymex) 12.42

Quote:
Originally Posted by DanTien
Contest closed.

Guesses of where the Dow, SP500, Nasdaq, Oil, Gas & Gold will be at year-end 2005.

The one(s) closest to each average or price will receive an ER Forum Static Eliminator Re-Usable Dryer Sheet.
In addition, JPatrick has volunteered to provide a case of Coronas to each winner.

Most importantly they will be held in great esteem and their pronouncements in 2006 will be given the respect they deserve.

The one with the most closest to awards will receive a 2006 Yellow Mustang Convertible with Black stripes and can choose an evening (or night depending how dinner goes) with either or
and be elevated to official ER Forum Investment Wizard.

The winner of the Mustang need only go to the closest Ford dealer on Jan 10th and mention that you are the ER Forum Investment Wizard and you are there to pickup your prize.

The people and their numbers:
Code:
Name           Dow     SP500    Nasdaq      Oil  Gold   Gas    

justin            11050 
TromboneAl        11003        1311      2301        51   526    16
Laurence          11002        1310      2080        63 
Texas Proud        11001
Michael           11000

Gonzo            10936        1245      2195
tryan            10900
azanon           10900        1300      2300 
JPatrick           10783        1211      2175        52
moghopper         10750        1240      2125
wabmester         10660 
Sheryl            10555        1175      1999        62  
windsurf          10500
BUM             10450
Martha           10400
DOG51           10250
 
farmerEd           9850                 1850 
Marshac           9800
Apocalypse         9770                            52   493    19
dwk              9725        1125      1825
brewer12345        9701        1040      1950        75   525    20
DanTien           9550        1102      1802        70   511    17
 
unclemick2          8500
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005
Old 12-29-2005, 01:33 PM   #92
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005

Dow to miss Wall St forecasts; Fed, oil to blame

NEW YORK, Dec 29 (Reuters) - As the year draws to a close,
the U.S. stock market's major indexes have fallen short of Wall
Street forecasts, but analysts aren't blaming corporate America
for this year's lackluster gains.

Analysts point to Federal Reserve monetary policy and a
sharp increase in energy prices as the culprits.

Company earnings exceeded expectations in 2005, yet the
Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> was up just 3.95 percent for
the year as of this afternoon, at 1,259, while the Dow Jones
industrial average <.DJI> was barely holding its head above
water, up 0.3 percent to 10,816.

According to the median forecasts in a Reuters poll
conducted in September, strategists had expected the Dow to be
at 11,000 by year-end, and the S&P 500 to finish at 1,265.

"The two primary factors that held up the market were the
Fed raising rates ... and that energy prices were far more
excitable than people had anticipated," said Tobias Levkovich,
equity strategist for U.S. institutional investors at
Citigroup.

Beginning in June 2004, a steady campaign of quarter-point
interest-rate increases by the Federal Open Market Committee
brought the benchmark federal funds rate to 4.25 percent.
Rising rates are seen as a negative for stocks because they
increase borrowing costs for companies and consumers.

"Certainly, in the last four to five months, there's been
uncertainty over what the Fed will do," said Scott Wren, senior
equity strategist at A.G. Edwards & Sons Inc. "In our mind,
they've already raised interest rates too far."

Keeping inflation at bay was the primary reason the Fed
kept lifting rates, and nowhere were price increases more
acutely felt in the U.S. economy than in oil and gas sector.

"The fact that inflation picked up and caused the Fed to
keep raising rates was (partly caused by) a hurricane-related
surge in energy prices," said Jeff Kleintop, chief investment
strategist at PNC Advisors. "There was a lot of worry created
around mother nature. It threw everybody for a curve."

Crude oil hit a record $70.85 a barrel on Aug. 30 when
Hurricane Katrina pummeled the U.S. Gulf Coast, damaging
refineries and oil platforms.

"It was too much for the market to overcome," said Rick
Meckler, president of investment firm LibertyView Capital
Management in Jersey City, New Jersey. "Otherwise, it could
have been an even better year profit-wise if so much of
(companies') earnings weren't deflected into energy costs."

Looking ahead to 2006, strategists are optimistic that this
year's main roadblocks for stocks will relent. Policymakers are
widely expected to end the rate hike cycle in the first
quarter, and the shock of $60 a barrel oil has worn off.

But 2006 may present its own forecast-foiling factors for
stocks. Strategists have set their targets with contingencies
in mind. Among the most popular caveats are another deadly
storm season, a collapse in the U.S. housing market, and an
outbreak of an avian flu pandemic.
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005
Old 12-30-2005, 04:05 PM   #93
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005

I've been patiently waiting for an hour. Where's Suze?

And please tell her that I like long walks on the beach at sunset, strawberries dipped in dark chocolate, and latex.
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005
Old 12-30-2005, 04:07 PM   #94
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005

Quote:
Originally Posted by wab
Where's Suze? And please tell her that I like... latex.
Preferably worn over her head...
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005
Old 12-30-2005, 05:00 PM   #95
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005

The final 2005 ER Forum Stock & Commodity averages.


Light, Sweet Crude Oil (Nymex) 61.04
Henry Hub Natural Gas (Nymex) 11.23
Gold (Comex) 518.90

If in error please post correct numbers or forever hold your peas.
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005
Old 12-30-2005, 05:02 PM   #96
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005

Quote:
Originally Posted by DanTien
The final 2005 ER Forum Stock & Commodity averages.


Light, Sweet Crude Oil (Nymex) * 61.04 *
Henry Hub Natural Gas (Nymex)* * 11.23
Gold (Comex) * * * * * * * * * * * * *518.90

If in error please post correct numbers or forever hold your peas.
Those stinkin numbers can't be right cause they don't match my guesses
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005
Old 12-30-2005, 05:39 PM   #97
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005

The ER Forum Category Winners:

Category Winner

Dow 10717.50 moghopper 10750

SP500 1248.29 Gonzo 1245

Nasdaq 2205.32 Gonzo 2195

Oil 61.04 Sheryl 62

Gold 518.90 brewer12345 525

Gas 11.23 TromboneAl 16

Each category winner receives a ER Forum Static Eliminator Re-Usable Dryer Sheet and a case of Corona beer.
Plus we have to listen to them whenever they get on their high horse and pontificate about the markets.

The one with the most closest to awards is Gonzo!
Gonzo is now our official ER Forum Investment Wizard!

Gonzo will receive a 2006 Yellow Mustang Convertible with Black stripes.
Another case of Corona beer - that makes three!

In addition, Gonzo can choose an evening (or night depending how dinner goes) with either

or


Gonzo - to receive the Mustang - go to your neighborhood Ford dealer on Jan 10th - be sure to wear your wizard hat. Announce that you are the 2005 ER Forum Investment Wizard and you are there to pickup your prize.
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005
Old 12-30-2005, 06:49 PM   #98
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005

<<<Gonzo - to receive the Mustang - go to your neighborhood Ford dealer on Jan 10th - be sure to wear your wizard hat. Announce that you are the 2005 ER Forum Investment Wizard and you are there to pickup your prize. >>>>

OK, I volunteer to be the photographer at this event!* Should be priceless :
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005
Old 12-30-2005, 07:03 PM   #99
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005

JP,

I thought you were getting the Mustang, you guys are trying to confuse me again.
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005
Old 12-31-2005, 11:09 AM   #100
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Re: Stock Market Contest 2005

Quote:
Originally Posted by REWahoo!
Preferably worn over her head...
DING DING DING

And a good sized piece or at least a bag for your head in case the latex doesnt provide adequate coverage.
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