View Poll Results: What will the Dow be on 12/31/2009
|
6000
|
|
6 |
5.71% |
7000
|
|
6 |
5.71% |
8000
|
|
5 |
4.76% |
9000
|
|
15 |
14.29% |
10000
|
|
30 |
28.57% |
11000
|
|
32 |
30.48% |
12000
|
|
9 |
8.57% |
13000
|
|
0 |
0% |
14000
|
|
2 |
1.90% |
|
|
10-14-2009, 05:17 PM
|
#41
|
Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: New Orleans
Posts: 47,468
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1
Time to bump this poll up too. I'm still in the DOW 11000 cheering section.
Audrey
|
Why? We've still got over two months before the end of 2009, when this poll will apply... the Dow could still go down to 2350 by then!
__________________
Already we are boldly launched upon the deep; but soon we shall be lost in its unshored, harbourless immensities. - - H. Melville, 1851.
Happily retired since 2009, at age 61. Best years of my life by far!
|
|
|
|
Join the #1 Early Retirement and Financial Independence Forum Today - It's Totally Free!
Are you planning to be financially independent as early as possible so you can live life on your own terms? Discuss successful investing strategies, asset allocation models, tax strategies and other related topics in our online forum community. Our members range from young folks just starting their journey to financial independence, military retirees and even multimillionaires. No matter where you fit in you'll find that Early-Retirement.org is a great community to join. Best of all it's totally FREE!
You are currently viewing our boards as a guest so you have limited access to our community. Please take the time to register and you will gain a lot of great new features including; the ability to participate in discussions, network with our members, see fewer ads, upload photographs, create a retirement blog, send private messages and so much, much more!
|
10-14-2009, 05:17 PM
|
#42
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: LaLa Land
Posts: 4,693
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Running_Man
Based on other times in history with housing collapses, I can't see the upside expected. Be nice if it happens but I am expecting:
Dow 4,632
|
So far it looks like you may finally be wrong.
|
|
|
10-14-2009, 05:18 PM
|
#43
|
Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: New Orleans
Posts: 47,468
|
Maybe not!! We've still got over 1/6th of a year to go for this poll. As volatile as things have been over the past year, I wouldn't assume anything this early.
__________________
Already we are boldly launched upon the deep; but soon we shall be lost in its unshored, harbourless immensities. - - H. Melville, 1851.
Happily retired since 2009, at age 61. Best years of my life by far!
|
|
|
10-14-2009, 05:20 PM
|
#44
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: LaLa Land
Posts: 4,693
|
That's why I said "so far".
|
|
|
10-14-2009, 06:38 PM
|
#45
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 37,931
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by REWahoo
FD announced he has nothing more to say on the forum, so don't expect a reply...
|
Hey, he's back! Maybe he'll catch up with this thread now.
Audrey
|
|
|
10-14-2009, 06:39 PM
|
#46
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 4,764
|
|
|
|
10-14-2009, 06:39 PM
|
#47
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 37,931
|
Hey - DOW 11,000 was my guess in Jan, and it's still good enough for me!
DOW 2350 - WHAAAAAaaaaat?!?!
Audrey
|
|
|
12-21-2009, 02:31 PM
|
#48
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 7,733
|
Ok with 7 trading days left. Ronstars prediction of Dow 10,487 looks remarkably accurate the Dow closed today at 10,418. There is still hope for the Dow 11,000 crowd though.
Actually Kudos are in order for the forum members in generally 62 out of 105 had the Dow closing between 10,000 and 11,000. I believe the Dow was at 9,016 when I posted the poll.
|
|
|
12-21-2009, 03:01 PM
|
#49
|
gone traveling
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,864
|
Slightly off topic, but I predict Tiger Woods will have an affair in 2009...
|
|
|
12-21-2009, 03:20 PM
|
#50
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Kansas City
Posts: 7,968
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by clifp
Ok with 7 trading days left. Ronstars prediction of Dow 10,487 looks remarkably accurate the Dow closed today at 10,418. There is still hope for the Dow 11,000 crowd though.
Actually Kudos are in order for the forum members in generally 62 out of 105 had the Dow closing between 10,000 and 11,000. I believe the Dow was at 9,016 when I posted the poll.
|
I'm within 1% of my all time high in ER(since 1993) measured in portfolio $(2007 was previous peak) AFTER taking out $ for expenses. So that's ok.
Not counting inflation and the Saints lost.
heh heh heh - I have not achieved the true Boglehead Zen-ness of 'Don't Know Don't Care' but I am full auto in Target Retirement.
Except for a few Norwegian widow stocks - for the hormones. .
|
|
|
12-28-2009, 07:23 PM
|
#51
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 37,931
|
Three more trading days. Dow 10,547 (rounds to Dow 11,000 )
Audrey
|
|
|
12-28-2009, 08:36 PM
|
#52
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 7,733
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1
Three more trading days. Dow 10,547 (rounds to Dow 11,000 )
Audrey
|
It does but no rounding on my poll absolute difference is what counts.
|
|
|
12-28-2009, 08:41 PM
|
#53
|
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 4,764
|
I will be right eventually.
|
|
|
12-28-2009, 08:46 PM
|
#54
|
Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: New Orleans
Posts: 47,468
|
In case anybody wondered, after reading the above 1/6/09 post, I should note that I am already deliriously happy, the universe is regaining its balance, and all that sort of good thing.
__________________
Already we are boldly launched upon the deep; but soon we shall be lost in its unshored, harbourless immensities. - - H. Melville, 1851.
Happily retired since 2009, at age 61. Best years of my life by far!
|
|
|
12-28-2009, 08:56 PM
|
#55
|
Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 678
|
Aren't we a prescient group or what!! Since we couldn't vote in 500 increments, it's fair to say that the group predicted 10,500 (average of the two largest cohorts), and we will be very close to the actual number on 12/31/09.
|
|
|
12-28-2009, 08:58 PM
|
#56
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 37,931
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by clifp
It does but no rounding on my poll absolute difference is what counts.
|
Huh? Absolute difference compared to what?
Audrey
|
|
|
12-28-2009, 09:28 PM
|
#57
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 7,733
|
The difference between the Jan prediction and the index. Ronstar guessed 10,418 which means he is only off by 129 points from today's close of 10,547. The 11,000 folks are off by 453. I'll go back and double check the S&P 500 guesses but I don't think they are very close.
|
|
|
12-28-2009, 10:14 PM
|
#58
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 5,170
|
I think the majority of the voters here voted right on .... so far.
I think I voted for either 6000 or 7000 and I am glad I was wrong.
|
|
|
12-30-2009, 07:21 PM
|
#59
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 37,931
|
One more trading day. Still stuck just above 10,500.
|
|
|
01-02-2010, 03:29 PM
|
#60
|
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 7,733
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ronstar
I'm saying 10,487 based on no supporting info. Its just a guess.
|
The Dow finished at 10,428 and the S&P at 1,115
Ron's "guess" was off by 59 points or tiny .56% error rate an impressive guess prediction and is the official winner. Look for him on CNBC soon , I'll contact him regarding his prize.
Not many people made other predictions.
I think mine is probably the most accurate given that Senate leaders vowed not to seat Burris and nobody was discussing Paula leaving the show.
Quote:
Ronald Burris will be the Senator from Illinois.
Paula Abdul will no longer be a judge on American Idol.
|
Honorable mention goes to Uncle Mick for forecasting the Saints making the playoff, if he had gone whole hog and predicted the Saints win the Superbowl, that would have been very impressive. (of course they still have to do it .)
Also Michael B bold predictions win the best sardonic response.
Quote:
The Cubs will win the world series
My kids will be thankful for all I have done for them
My wife will appreciate me
President Obama will fix all our problems
Ex-president Bush will admit he was wrong
and...
The Dow will rise 25%
|
|
|
|
|
|
Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
|
|
Thread Tools |
|
Display Modes |
Linear Mode
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
|
» Recent Threads
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
» Quick Links
|
|
|