mathjak107
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
- Joined
- Jul 27, 2005
- Messages
- 6,204
think about this
from 1987 to 2003 the s&p returned 13.47% a year average return... those 17 years saw an amazing return i would say and as good as it gets.
inflation ran 4% over that time frame. if you follow the old rule of thumb that everything over the amount of inflation is free to be withdrawn ,than leaving 4% of the gains with the house could have had a new retiree pulling 10% inflation adjusted for 17 years theoretically out.
now for the fun. starting with 1 million in the s&p500
randomly taking the years gains and losses over that time frame and changing how the order came in left you with a balance that ranged
from 77,000 left to a mind blowing deficit of 186,000. thats just incredible that just by shifting the order of things like that when in our decumulation stage that it could have such a difference in results from the greatest gains ever.
the order of gains and losses means nothing in our accumulation stage . it all works out the same no matter what the order.
it takes on a whole new outcome in the decumulation stage. its an amazing factor.
of course no one would have actually done that but it illustrates the power of the order of our gains and losses is far greater in retirement than the actual gains and losses.
the more we are able to fill in those downturns with any pensionized income the bigger the effect overall on our portfolio.
from 1987 to 2003 the s&p returned 13.47% a year average return... those 17 years saw an amazing return i would say and as good as it gets.
inflation ran 4% over that time frame. if you follow the old rule of thumb that everything over the amount of inflation is free to be withdrawn ,than leaving 4% of the gains with the house could have had a new retiree pulling 10% inflation adjusted for 17 years theoretically out.
now for the fun. starting with 1 million in the s&p500
randomly taking the years gains and losses over that time frame and changing how the order came in left you with a balance that ranged
from 77,000 left to a mind blowing deficit of 186,000. thats just incredible that just by shifting the order of things like that when in our decumulation stage that it could have such a difference in results from the greatest gains ever.
the order of gains and losses means nothing in our accumulation stage . it all works out the same no matter what the order.
it takes on a whole new outcome in the decumulation stage. its an amazing factor.
of course no one would have actually done that but it illustrates the power of the order of our gains and losses is far greater in retirement than the actual gains and losses.
the more we are able to fill in those downturns with any pensionized income the bigger the effect overall on our portfolio.
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