Another indicator shows recession

Do you think there will be a recession in 2007?

  • Yes for sure. A recession is looming.

    Votes: 11 10.9%
  • It is a toss.

    Votes: 23 22.8%
  • No recession in sight.

    Votes: 39 38.6%
  • I am not informed enough to say one way or the other

    Votes: 28 27.7%

  • Total voters
    101
brewer12345 said:
Hmmm, they quote someone talking about trade surplusses, which suggests that the Brazilian gummint may be dependent on brrowing, but the economy as a whole is not.

As a Brazilian myself, I wish that was the case. You see, without the foreign borrowing, Brazil's goverment would have no choice but to raise interest rates (already the highest in the world) and taxes even further in order to finance its deficit (Brazil's goverment has no concept of cutting costs), which would have a devastating effect on the economy. Brazil is a 3rd world country with tax levels that rival those of seen in Scandinavian nations. A significant outflow of capital would be devastating (it would not be a new experience however, we have been through that story quite a few times already).
 
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