Midpack
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I read the most recent book(s) and while the idea makes a lot of sense, at least protecting some assets with an LMP and an Risk Portfolio (so not out of the market by any means), none of the suggested financial vehicles seem to make any sense now. I'd love to protect more of our assets, in conservative investments that at least have a chance of keeping up with inflation. But annuities, TIPS, CDs, Treasuries, etc. - even Dr. Bernstein doesn't seem to recommend an LMP right now?
After advocating investing approaches that eschew timing, we're supposed to include timing in getting into an LMP?
I have somewhat of an "underfunded" LMP, Soc Sec & bond funds but...
What am I missing?
After advocating investing approaches that eschew timing, we're supposed to include timing in getting into an LMP?
I have somewhat of an "underfunded" LMP, Soc Sec & bond funds but...
What am I missing?
from Apr 14 said:I wrote "Ages of the Investor" as a way to think about the retirement investing process, not as a normative prescription. Bobcat's posts on the subject, and the links he provides, are also quite helpful.
In a perfect world, the TIPS yield curve is positive at all maturites, which are available at least every few years all the way out to, oh, age 110 or so.
But we don't live in that world right now: below 6 years, rates are negative, which means you have to pay >$1.00 to consume $1.00 0-6 years hence. And even if rates rise, there's a gaping maturity hole between 2032 and 2040. Finally there are no maturities beyond 2043. And so forth.
In a perfect world, an inflation-adjusted annuity will never default. There have been no major ones in the past, but you could also have said the same thing about major terrorist events on U.S. soil before 9/11/01, and if the GFC wasn't a wake-up on that one, you're not conscious.
So there are leaps of faith that have to be made; I can't tell you when or whether to buy inflation-protected annuities or a TIPS ladder now. No one can tell you whether that's better than waiting in short-term instruments.
But the LMP/RP framework at least allows you to make an informed decision.
Bill Bernstein
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