audreyh1
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2017 interview with Morningstar, an annual discussion of his expectations: Bogle's 'Reasonable Expectations' for Market Returns
He thinks what is reasonable to expect from now is:
50/50 would be 3.5% nominal and 2% real. I would be more inclined to use 2% for inflation, so 1.5% real.
He thinks what is reasonable to expect from now is:
- 4% nominal for equities which he computes from 4% growth, 2% divs, -2% valuations.
- 3% nominal for 50% 10 year Treasury + 50% corporate bond index.
- 1.5% for inflation — not clear if that's today's inflation or expected inflation.
50/50 would be 3.5% nominal and 2% real. I would be more inclined to use 2% for inflation, so 1.5% real.
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