Gone4Good
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
- Joined
- Sep 9, 2005
- Messages
- 5,381
TromboneAl said:But you want your NAV to be going down. It means that the bonds that are being bought in the fund now will be getting higher interest rates.
This article shows how rising rates will give you a better return in the long run.
When interest rates fall, rising bond prices boost short-term returns, but the lower interest rates translate into lower returns on future investments, as your reinvested income compounds at lower yields. When interest rates rise, the short-term pain of falling prices can eventually be salved by higher returns on reinvested income.
This is one of the most under appreciated aspects of investing. In every other aspect of life people get upset when prices go up. But in investing, people only get excited when they have to pay more for a stream of future cash flows (or earnings) and conversely get dejected when that same series of cash flows becomes less expensive.
Personally, I couldn't be happier with the higher interest rates. As a net lender I'm tired of giving away money at negative real returns. I only wish the long bond rate would go up some more and that the real yield on TIPS would go back above 3% - then we'd be talking!