I think I initially thought of this when I came across a post on these boards by a fellow (a Hawaiian, as I recall) who was looking to FIRE, part of which entailed selling his business, and he mentioned that he was surprised just how low the typical price would be for selling a business (I think the consensus here ranged around the 2x profits mark).
Having browsed through some business-for-sale sites, I've seen that this isn't generally too far off the mark. So what I'm wondering is how, at only around 2x earnings, buying a business would compare to the relative complexity, risk, effort, etc., of starting a business from scratch, on the one hand, and how it would compare to holding shares of a publicly traded company, or real estate, etc. It seems on the surface like the kind of yield that would result in huge growth through acquisitions, fast consolidation, and an eventual rise in the price of buying a business to a significantly higher level.
I can understand that there's a comparably huge level of risk involved, and that it's concentrating large amounts of capital in a single holding, and that in many cases a significant chunk of the value of a family (or other small) business would reside in the very few people involved in running it. I can also see how there's a higher level of fraud and accidental misinformation when it comes to evaluating a tiny, privately-held business.
So... am I missing any big things? Does anyone care to take a stab at the comparisons to other forms of investing and entrepreneurship? It seems, prima facie, like a cheap way to buy some combination of income, customers/clients, business infrastructure, etc.
Having browsed through some business-for-sale sites, I've seen that this isn't generally too far off the mark. So what I'm wondering is how, at only around 2x earnings, buying a business would compare to the relative complexity, risk, effort, etc., of starting a business from scratch, on the one hand, and how it would compare to holding shares of a publicly traded company, or real estate, etc. It seems on the surface like the kind of yield that would result in huge growth through acquisitions, fast consolidation, and an eventual rise in the price of buying a business to a significantly higher level.
I can understand that there's a comparably huge level of risk involved, and that it's concentrating large amounts of capital in a single holding, and that in many cases a significant chunk of the value of a family (or other small) business would reside in the very few people involved in running it. I can also see how there's a higher level of fraud and accidental misinformation when it comes to evaluating a tiny, privately-held business.
So... am I missing any big things? Does anyone care to take a stab at the comparisons to other forms of investing and entrepreneurship? It seems, prima facie, like a cheap way to buy some combination of income, customers/clients, business infrastructure, etc.