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#1 |
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Recycles dryer sheets
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 457
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Choosing cash/short term bond/bank/cd for low risk money
Am thinking ahead for January when I'll need a place to put new taxable money.
Rates and situations might change, but here's my thinking today: ---------------------------------------------------------------- ibonds + good return for no risk: 1.2%+cpi + rate locked 30 years, but can sell after 1 year (protection against real rates dropping below 0) + ACH link to other accounts + tax deferral of interest - can't sell first year - small penalty first 5 years EmmigrantDirect + currently 4% with no risk + ACH link to other accounts - may have to get rid of if current rates turn out to be a tease Individual TIPS, such as 5 year bond + good risk/return (1.6%+cpi, 5yr's duration under 3 years?) - fees to buy, except at auction with certain brokers - fees when I sell before maturity - lose some $ to spread when sell? VFSTX vanguard short term investment grade + over the long term, usually has good risk/return + checkwriting and ACH link to external accounts - risk/return 4.2% currently seems inferior to most other options - $10/year fee if under $2500 VIPSX vanguard inflation protected + checkwriting and ACH link to external accounts - high risk (7 year duration) but yield same as 5yrTIPS - $10/year fee if under $2500 TIP ishares tips + slightly shorter duration than VIPSX - duration is still long, about 6 years, but yield same as 5yrTIPS - pay spread and commissions when buy and sell CD's - don't know of any that seem better to me than combining above options Money market - lower return and higher risk than EmmigrantDirect ---------------------------------------------------------------- Am considering either: 1) 1 year of expenses in EmmigrantDirect, and rest in ibonds or, 2) 1 year of expenses in VIPSX, and rest in ibonds My first choice would be to combine 5yrTIPS, ibonds, and a little EmmigrantDirect, but the fees (and spread?) on selling the TIPS, having to wait til the April auction, and opening another brokerage account ruins this option for me. I don't like the exposure to interest rate risk in option 2, but at least it's real rate exposure, not nominal. Actually, the risk is less of a problem than feeling I'm not being compensated for the risk. One might say I also get a diversification benefit, with the chance to gain if real rates drop. But, I already have 15% of portfolio in PCRIX which holds intermediate TIPS, and I feel intermediate-long TIPS yields might be low today. http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates/ http://flagship2.vanguard.com/VGApp/...FundIntExt=INT http://www.ishares.com/fund_info/det...ml;?symbol=TIP http://www.emigrant-direct.com/index.php (Crossposted on Raddr's board) |
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#2 |
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 4,461
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Re: Choosing cash/short term bond/bank/cd for low risk money
Go with i-bonds, but wait for the fixed rate change in November.
Personally, I prefer i-bonds and TIPS to VIPSX. Why pay for annual fund expenses when you can buy and hold TIPS/i-bonds for free? |
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#3 | |
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Recycles dryer sheets
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 457
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Re: Choosing cash/short term bond/bank/cd for low risk money
Quote:
TIPS could make sense if $ amounts were larger, but fees and other negatives above make me consider VIPSX. |
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#4 |
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2003
Posts: 4,461
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Re: Choosing cash/short term bond/bank/cd for low risk money
I didn't realize your holding period was less than a year. In that case, neither TIPS nor VIPSX makes much sense. They are both subject to short-term volatility. Stick with a money market for anything you need to use in less than a year, and perhaps i-bonds if you plan to hold at least one year.
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