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#81 | |
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
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Quote:
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Consult with your own advisor or representative. My thoughts should not be construed as investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results (love that one).......:) President Obama, please know that I will continue to cling to my guns and religion........:) |
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#82 | |
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Recycles dryer sheets
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Posts: 172
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On his portfolios: They are all designed to be 'set and forget'. Part of the reason they evolve over time (from 2 asset class up to about 8 or so) is because certain asset classes were not readily available in the past (International small companies, for example) and can now be inexpensively invested in. It does appear at first glance he is changing his recommendation every year based on the flavor of the day.. I'm not sure if this is the case or not. There is a point where you start hitting diminishing returns. Adding a 4th low-correlation asset class to an existing portfolio is likely to be a significant benefit, whereas adding the 9th will hardly matter in returns while adding complexity. One point you can derive from his writings is while even a simple 60%eq/40% bond porfolio will outperform most active funds over long stretches, there is certainly room for improvement. The best introductory article I've ever seen that details this out is from Paul Merriman here: Page Not Found Link may be down - have to hit google cache to read it. I don't advocate everything Merriman says (he believes in market timing using 200 day moving average), but this article is a good demonstration of what Scott Burns writes about with respect to adding different asset classes and how they impact a portfolio. In any case, you should try to decide your strategy and stick with it. If you decided that international small cap was desired but not available, you may add it when it becomes available (even through a managed fund if necessary), but adding it just because it had done well is not a good reason. |
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#83 |
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
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Posts: 2,020
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Most of the retirees I know are old and retire on-time.
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#84 | |
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
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I do agree with you on actively managed funds. Some can serve a purpose. But, there's no reason to pay commissions to a sales person to buy one. Too many outstanding passive and actively managed funds out there available without sales commissions.
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Over all was the silence of the wilderness - Sigurd Olsen |
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#85 | |
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Recycles dryer sheets
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FD, can you explain what you mean:
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The DOW only drops 100pts if MSFT has a bad day and everyone else has a bad or neutral day. Conversely if the rest do well and MSFT has a bad day the DOW rises. You totally lost me on that one. |
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#86 |
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
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Unless I'm mistaken...one of the problems with equal weighting is that there simply arent enough available shares of some of the companies to provide for the existing index mutual funds were they to change from cap weighting to equal weighting.
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Many an optimist has become rich by buying out a pessimist |
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#87 |
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
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And would you really like to own as much of these:
Brunswick OfficeMax Bear Stearns Ambac Financial Group Meredith Dillard's As these: ExxonMobil General Electric AT&T Microsoft Procter & Gamble ? S&P 500 (TM) Index Component Weights Sorted by % Weight in the Index - indexArb.com
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Many an optimist has become rich by buying out a pessimist |
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#88 |
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You would be correct. Of course this is a problem more common the broader the index is. This is the reason that equal weighted index funds have to use more complex sampling than that of cap weighted funds.
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#89 |
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
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...and then when you have someone picking and choosing which companies will and wont be in the "index", its not really as good an "index" and is more like a managed fund...
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Many an optimist has become rich by buying out a pessimist |
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#90 |
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Recycles dryer sheets
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From what I've read I came to the conclusion that on paper, equal-weighting would be superior based on history, but is both expensive and difficult to implement in real life. Can you imagine trying to equal-weight the wilshire 5000?
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#91 |
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
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Its also interesting to note that the folks excited about active momentum investing have a lot in common with the index investor.
As companies get larger and grow faster, the index increases their cap weighting and buys more shares. As companies start to get smaller and shrink, the index reduces cap weighting and ownership. So it turns out that index funds really are sort of slow pitch softball versions of momentum funds. But you dont get to buy newsletters and hand pick stocks yourself, which makes it a lot less interesting as a hobby. ![]()
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Many an optimist has become rich by buying out a pessimist |
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#92 | |
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
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Quote:
And then you have to consider the effect of that equal weighting. A lot less shares of larger companies would be held and a lot more shares of smaller companies would be held. What effect would that have on their share prices in both the short and long term? Hmmmm.... ![]() Seems that what the equal weighting does is pick up more shares of small and value companies. Something you can do on your own by taking a 50% holding in the weighted s&p 500 and a 50% holding in the wilshire 4500, or adding a chunk of small cap value. Someone (Alec?) was talking a while back about using the wilshire 4500 as a primary holding and skipping the s&p 500. Some of the top holdings in the 4500 index actually qualify as large cap stocks and you end up with a much heavier weight of mid and small cap stocks. The breakdown of the 4500 has a nice smooth mix of large, mid and small cap companies. Isnt it always something...?
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Many an optimist has become rich by buying out a pessimist |
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#93 | |
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
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Quote:
To me, the BIG cap-weighted stocks like MSFT have TOO much influence on the markets. That is not to say MSFT is not important to investors, I just question HOW much it needs to be...........
__________________
Consult with your own advisor or representative. My thoughts should not be construed as investment advice. Past performance is no guarantee of future results (love that one).......:) President Obama, please know that I will continue to cling to my guns and religion........:) |
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#94 |
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
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#95 | |
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#96 | |
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ExxonMobil General Electric AT&T Microsoft Procter & Gamble and then a little bit of some other stuff. Almost 20% of your entire portfolio is the top 10 stocks. |
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#97 |
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
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This thread is a lot more informative with judicious use of the ignore list...
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Many an optimist has become rich by buying out a pessimist |
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#98 |
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Administrator
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I'm sorry, did you say something?
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#99 |
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ... ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Losing my whump
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Anyone feel a breeze?
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Many an optimist has become rich by buying out a pessimist |
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#100 |