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IMO, the main reason that many companies have jettisoned the DB plan is that the companies were underpricing the cost of the DB plan. For example, a fairly risk free way to fund the DB plan was to invest the plan assets and contributions in bonds [nominal bonds b/c of the nominal annuities the DB plan paid out]. Well, the companies realized that by increasing the % of the DB plan's assets to assets that offered a higher rate of return [i.e. equities, hedge funds, etc.], the company was then allowed to increase the discount rate for the DB plan's liabilities [b/c of the higher rate of return], which in turn vastly lowered the DB plan's "expected" contributions. And if the return never showed up, the DB plan could just shove the DB plan over to the PBGC.
My guess is that the DB(k) is probably another option inside the 401(k), kind of like TIAA is with TIAA-CREF's 403(b) plans. You'd basically be buying a deferred fixed annuity from an insurance company.. which is kind of a step up for most 401(k)'s. However, another guess is that the insurance companies will actually be charging rational prices for these things, and using bonds to immunize the liabilities [like the DB plans should have been using]. So, people are going to be unpleasantly surprised about the actual cost of these deferred fixed annuities.
- Alec
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