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03-06-2006, 04:31 PM
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#1
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 399
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I would like to hear comments from some of you investors out there about investing in primarily "Dividend orientented" portfolio's. You know, those paying out approx. 3% per yr. in dividends. How do you think you final yeild compares to just picking stock funds, irreguardless of dividends.
Any first hand experiences you would like to share with us?
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03-06-2006, 04:32 PM
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#2
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Administrator
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Texas Hill Country
Posts: 16,480
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Unclemick, your phone is ringing.
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Numbers is hard...
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03-06-2006, 05:57 PM
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#3
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,450
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Better Investing issue came today. It states that over 50% of the return on the sp 500 since 1980 was from reinvested dividends.
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- Hurry! to the cliffs of insanity!
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03-06-2006, 06:20 PM
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#4
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Los Angeles area
Posts: 975
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I am 47 and will retire in the next 0-2 years. I have a dividend-oriented
portfolio, and expect my total return will probably be about the same
as an index portfolio. However, the advantage of a dividend-oriented
portfolio is that I do not really care what the total return is - I will be
living on the dividends. As long as the companies perform well, keep
earning more money and raising dividends, I do not care what happens
to the stock price. Actually, I care a little bit - if valuations on the stocks
I like become out of balance, I will reallocate to take advantage.
In mid 1998 I switched to a 100% REIT portfolio (about 1.5 years too
early) because of the extreme undervaluation of them compared to
regular stocks (IMO). 2 months ago I rebalanced to a 30% REIT/70%
dividend-paying blue chip allocation as REITs finally became overvalued
(IMO). So far I am 2 months too early with the shift back, but I sleep
better at night.
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learn, work, save, invest, fire
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03-06-2006, 07:27 PM
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#5
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: north of Kansas City
Posts: 6,191
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Hmmmm
I'm still back study - a - fying the wooden floor thread as to which way to go.
Anywise - yes I still have my DRIP dividend stocks - about half way killed off and transferring to a Vanguard brokerage account. Ballpark - I think I ran around 6-8% takeout (NOT level load) in the 1989 - 2000 period. The thing that stuck me about the period - other than dividends were higher then now was the large no. of spin-offs, cash buyouts, mergers - so when I say ballpark - I mean ballpark. I peaked between 30-40 stocks from one share up to many shares. Reinvested dividends - until I 'harvested the cash - voluntarily or involuntarily in a lot of cases. Messy business - but it was 40% of retirement income at times during my really frugal years(read cheap bastard).
The Norwegian widow mix - lots of utes(all kinds), telephone, oils, banks/insurance, REITs, drugs when their dividends were over 4-5% and even a few natural resource stocks with dividends.
I am more in the listening/learning mode at 62 - should I continue to putz with dividend stocks - reinvest dividends and smooth out the lumps when I pull the pin on a stock. Right now - planning to sweep div.'s int Prime MM and spend as needed - after I get the rest of the DRIPS killed off/or transferred?
Still a few male hormones left. AND should I cap at 15 stocks or some other number.
heh heh heh - The Norwegian widow loves her dividends - but  ?
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03-06-2006, 07:42 PM
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#6
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Losing my whump
Posts: 22,526
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I simplified my port quite a bit last year, and reduced the dividends a bit. But about 40% of my taxable port is still large cap value paying ~3% dividends and a good sized chunk of my IRA is small cap value...lower dividends but still the same idea.
Dividend paying "value" stocks are, I think, good stocks to own for the long haul...in bunches...seems to me theres a lot of risk in just owning a handful but if you hand pick well (bowing to unclemick) and you're willing to keep an eye on them, thats a good way to go as well.
Tax treatment on qualified dividends from stocks is such a free lunch I cant make a case to not own them and take a good chunk of your SWR from them. If you can adjust your spending, a big bag of dividend payers can be ridden through good times and bad...
__________________
Many an optimist has become rich by buying out a pessimist
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03-06-2006, 07:58 PM
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#7
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: north of Kansas City
Posts: 6,191
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I haven't gone looking for any recent academic curves lately but:
At some point - the number of stocks begin to approach the behavior of an index. Lots of wiggle room here - does a mixture of div stocks in various sectors perform like an index - and if so which index.
I've seen numbers as low as 8 stocks capturing the DOW performance (80-90%) thereof in the past.
I think the number varies in different decades and haven't seen any lately.
But Wall Street has been rolling out a lot of canned div products lately.
My curmudgeon alarm is going off. I don't think the basic premise is wrong - but pushing too hard for dividends right now - I suspect I might be overpaying. Perhaps time to look harder at dividend growth.
Just some random thoughts.
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03-06-2006, 11:40 PM
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#8
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 1,927
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Quote:
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Perhaps time to look harder at dividend growth
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Agree
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"These walls are kind of funny. First you hate 'em, then you get used to 'em. Enough time passes, gets so you depend on them"
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03-07-2006, 03:31 AM
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#9
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2005
Posts: 2,792
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lets not forget dividends are not like getting bank interest..the price of the stock drops by an equivelent amount meaning the dividend amounts to in total return a big fat zero....its total return that counts..you could have bought the highest paying dow stocks and you would have been in a world of hurt the last few years....if a stocks worth buying than buy it dividend or no dividend
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03-07-2006, 06:13 AM
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#10
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,450
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Quote:
Perhaps time to look harder at dividend growth
Agree
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Probably a good strategy for younger folks, anyway (for tax deferral and growth). The high dividend payers usually have lower dividend growth, too.
__________________
- Hurry! to the cliffs of insanity!
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03-07-2006, 07:32 AM
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#11
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Mar 2003
Posts: 9,993
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About 18 months ago I started diversifying away from my all small cap value portfolio (which continues). One of the things I have consciously been doing is buying stuff that throws off dividends and other cash. With a mostly (~85%) equity portfolio, I am now up to a portfolio yield of about 3% (and rising). I've noticed a lot less volatility, since firms that pay healthy dividends generally have reasonably strong cash flow and are not dependent on the capital markets to keep them afloat and provide capital to grow.
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"And Jesus spake, 'Become thou now fishers of adjustable rate mortgages'" - New Conservative Bible
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03-07-2006, 07:45 AM
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#12
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 1,927
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Quote:
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Probably a good strategy for younger folks, anyway (for tax deferral and growth). The high dividend payers usually have lower dividend growth, too.
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A good point. I have said before a good strategy may be to mix the two - growth and high yield. Best of both worlds which can be done via Vanguard Div Growth + Equity Income or just picking a basket of individual stocks. I keep a few dividend stocks in my tax sheltered portfolio to smooth out the bumps in my aggressive allocation.
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"These walls are kind of funny. First you hate 'em, then you get used to 'em. Enough time passes, gets so you depend on them"
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03-07-2006, 10:21 AM
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#13
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Oahu
Posts: 17,531
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by brewer12345
About 18 months ago I started diversifying away from my all small cap value portfolio (which continues).* One of the things I have consciously been doing is buying stuff that throws off dividends and other cash.
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I'm a fan of small-cap value and large-cap dividend payers.
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*
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For more info see "About Me" in my profile.
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03-07-2006, 11:05 AM
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#14
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 1,049
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In 1995 I started investing in DRIP stocks. I found some attractive companies that offered a 1 to 5 % discount from market price for drip purchases. I focused on stocks with good dividends and reinvested them all. I eventually had 25 companies. In 2000 I tired of the hassle of dealing with the various transfer agents and consolidated all of the shares at Buy & Hold Securities. I have always kept my investment costs as low as possible. I currently own dividend paying shares in 22 companies. The shares are worth over $220K and I draw over $8200 a year in dividends. These shares represent only about 15% of my net worth. The yield calculated on my initial investment costs is over 6%. I rebalance every couple of years to boost the dividend payout. I find these dividend stocks to be a very beneficial and successful segment of my overall portolio. DRIP investing is a great, low cost way to get educated about the markets and to gradually build a significant position.
Grumpy
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03-07-2006, 11:18 AM
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#15
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 535
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Cute n' Fuzzy Bunny
Tax treatment on qualified dividends from stocks is such a free lunch I cant make a case to not own them and take a good chunk of your SWR from them.*
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Would Vanguard mutual fund statements specify the amount of qualified dividends that are taxable at the 5% or 15% rate, if I owned the fund in a taxable account?
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03-07-2006, 11:19 AM
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#16
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Losing my whump
Posts: 22,526
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Yes they do, the 1099 separates the qualified and unqualified dividends.
__________________
Many an optimist has become rich by buying out a pessimist
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03-07-2006, 11:24 AM
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#17
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 535
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Thanks, CFB. I'm not a good stock-picker so I will be moving my taxable individual stock investments to funds.
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03-07-2006, 03:23 PM
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#18
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 1,049
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by flipstress
Would Vanguard mutual fund statements specify the amount of qualified dividends that are taxable at the 5% or 15% rate, if I owned the fund in a taxable account?
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I don't think the statements show that, but the 1099-DIV does.
Grumpy
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03-07-2006, 08:56 PM
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#19
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 56
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by mathjak107
lets not forget dividends are not like getting bank interest..the price of the stock drops by an equivelent amount meaning the dividend amounts to in total return a big fat zero....its total return that counts..you could have bought the highest paying dow stocks and you would have been in a world of hurt the last few years....if a stocks worth buying than buy it dividend or no dividend
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For a mutual fund, a dividend distribution will reduce the fund's net asset value per share by an amount equivalent to the dividend distribution on the ex-dividend date. The same does not apply to the share price of an individual stock. While there may be some market activity related to the ex-dividend date of a stock which might affect its price, the price of the stock is not reduced by the amount of the dividend. The total return for a stock at the end of a given holding period will be the sum of the dividends paid plus any share price appreciation.
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03-07-2006, 09:01 PM
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#20
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 1,927
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Quote:
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the price of the stock is not reduced by the amount of the dividend.
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Yeah, it's called arbitrage.
__________________
"These walls are kind of funny. First you hate 'em, then you get used to 'em. Enough time passes, gets so you depend on them"
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