headingout
Recycles dryer sheets
- Joined
- Feb 18, 2008
- Messages
- 147
I'm approaching FIRE and pondering the best way to turn my investments into an income stream. Currently I have a well-diversified portfolio of low-cost mutual funds: about 45% stocks, 55% bonds/cash. The current yield across my portfolio is about 3%. I assume I could take a total return approach and cull dividends plus sell/rebalance as needed to draw approximately 4% from this portfolio indefinitely.
However, I also see that it is possible right now to build a somewhat less diversified portfolio (mostly energy, utilities, financials) of several dozen good quality dividend-paying stocks and average a yield of 5-6%. Presumably such an equity-based portfolio would be inflation protected, and could support a withdrawal rate of 5-6% with no threat to principal.
So what's the catch? The lack of sector diversification could be an issue if I had to sell at a bad time, but this is about income. Is it that those dividends aren't guaranteed and could go down substantially? If so, what's the evidence for that? Is it that these kinds of stocks, or their dividends, actually don't keep up with inflation?
Bottom line: why don't quality dividend stocks yielding better than 4% let you increase your SWR?
However, I also see that it is possible right now to build a somewhat less diversified portfolio (mostly energy, utilities, financials) of several dozen good quality dividend-paying stocks and average a yield of 5-6%. Presumably such an equity-based portfolio would be inflation protected, and could support a withdrawal rate of 5-6% with no threat to principal.
So what's the catch? The lack of sector diversification could be an issue if I had to sell at a bad time, but this is about income. Is it that those dividends aren't guaranteed and could go down substantially? If so, what's the evidence for that? Is it that these kinds of stocks, or their dividends, actually don't keep up with inflation?
Bottom line: why don't quality dividend stocks yielding better than 4% let you increase your SWR?