street
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- Nov 30, 2016
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It might be a stupid question because I'm not sure with the struggle in the markets if it has been classified as a bear market yet or not?
What do you mean by "struggle in the markets"?It might be a stupid question because I'm not sure with the struggle in the markets if it has been classified as a bear market yet or not?
When has the market not been up and down? I think you need to stop getting caught up in the media hyperbole and fear mongering and think for yourself.Struggle might not be the right word so I will describe it as an up and down times right now.
It might be a stupid question because I'm not sure with the struggle in the markets if it has been classified as a bear market yet or not?
NO it doesn't make me nervous one bit. I've road out many storms since the late 70's.
Struggle might not be the right word so I will describe it as an up and down times right now.
I also agree markets aren't bad we all have made a lot of money but the markets feel at an uneasy time.
From first of year it has held it own but since the high of the year is a different story. Not a big deal at all just wondering if you feel a bear has started?
Unlikely. Bear markets are usually associated with recessions and I don't see one starting this year. Perhaps if the yield curve continues to flatten we might see a recession in late 2019.
Further, while stock valuations are high so is earnings growth. S&P 500 earnings grew 16% in 2017 and appear to be heading for +18% in 2018 (maybe more as the TCJA works through the system).
I think we are back to more normal volatility after an unusually quite period, so perceptions of the stock market may be distorted by that.
Regardless of this speculation, my AA is what it is and I'm not changing it. WHEN we get a bear I'll rebalance into stocks.
Unlikely. Bear markets are usually associated with recessions and I don't see one starting this year. Perhaps if the yield curve continues to flatten we might see a recession in late 2019.
Further, while stock valuations are high so is earnings growth. S&P 500 earnings grew 16% in 2017 and appear to be heading for +18% in 2018 (maybe more as the TCJA works through the system).
I think we are back to more normal volatility after an unusually quite period, so perceptions of the stock market may be distorted by that.
Regardless of this speculation, my AA is what it is and I'm not changing it. WHEN we get a bear I'll rebalance into stocks.