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Re: Earliest Retirement with 100% Equity Portfolio?
Old 12-02-2006, 04:54 PM   #41
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Re: Earliest Retirement with 100% Equity Portfolio?

Hmmm - as part of my er ah education - in the 70's I managed to lose money in real estate gold and mortgage reits.

heh heh heh - just talented I guess.
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Re: Earliest Retirement with 100% Equity Portfolio?
Old 12-02-2006, 09:46 PM   #42
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Re: Earliest Retirement with 100% Equity Portfolio?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ed_The_Gypsy
Les Antman
http://www.simplyrich.com/board.htm
claims that a 50/50 US/international equity portfolio has never been underwater than 5 years at a time. Later it worked out to about 5.5 years, but close. He plans to stay fully invested, take 5% of the pot every year and accept the ups and downs. His international data doesn't go as far back as the depression as I recall.
I couldn't find above info on 50/50 equity portfolio - sorry - do you have a sub-link on that site ?

Seems like correlations are increasing between US and international markets - I'm suprised that such a portfolio would max around 5.5 years underwater.

Thanks.
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Re: Earliest Retirement with 100% Equity Portfolio?
Old 12-03-2006, 11:13 AM   #43
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Re: Earliest Retirement with 100% Equity Portfolio?

Quote:
I couldn't find above info on 50/50 equity portfolio - sorry - do you have a sub-link on that site ?
Hi, Dave,

It has been a while since I have been to Les's board and I was not able to find the particular message I had in mind, but I found a few topics on the subject.

http://p207.ezboard.com/fpersonalfin...picID=63.topic
http://p207.ezboard.com/fpersonalfin...picID=97.topic
http://p207.ezboard.com/fpersonalfin...picID=69.topic
http://p207.ezboard.com/fpersonalfin...opicID=2.topic
http://www.simplyrich.com/investin.htm

The 5 year claim is now 6 years.

Les does not like bonds at all, by the way. He is focused on how to deal with inflation. With volatility comes reward. It comes down to ones tolerance for risk (volatility) and how long can one stand a downdraft and when do you need the money? Equities are not good for short-term savings (say under 10 years). I found this out all by myself!

There is no way I can verify Les's points. I am giving them a try, however. They have been working pretty good. (Too good? I am worried that I might not be diversified enough. Everything is going up together. What am I doing wrong? )
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