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Old 11-08-2013, 04:53 PM   #81
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Maybe the above mentioned strategy isn't for you (And when say you, I mean any reader, not just Lsbcal), but I'm genuinely curious about what other strategies people are using that they have found to work well. I'm here to learn.
I'm respectful of such a strategy (also of buy-hold). But note it depends a lot on the individual and their willingness to follow things day to day. As we know, many investors will start out with a strategy and then start to second guess it. Many whipsaws might cause one to try something else.

I've actually done a lot of spreadsheet studies on such mechanical strategies. I've examined them going back to the 1920's with actual and synthesized data. I personally use a much more gradual monthly technique which is easier for me to implement and backtests to 1 trade every 3 years (round trip every 6 years on average). It is not a moving average type but does include a momentum component. Just mentioning it as a way to say that there are a few mad investors out there that actually think along these lines but don't disclose details.

The Bogleheads site has tons of info on buy-hold strategies and those twiddles that are referred to as rebalancing. There was also a huge thread on moving average strategies and discussions. I think that was back in 2009.

There is an interesting book that might be in your library: Amazon.com: The Physics of Wall Street: A Brief History of Predicting the Unpredictable eBook: James Owen Weatherall: Books
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Old 11-08-2013, 05:18 PM   #82
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I went back to sleep and woke up after the market opened. What was going on here? Something about consumer sentiment... And as we needed to do grocery shopping for a couple of parties this weekend, I did not check the market again until later. It had been dropping through the day.
This morning I had a routine medical procedure that put me out with a mild anesthesia. Out like a light and didn't wake up until the market closed. So I know what you mean.

When I got to the computer, market had had a nice day ... without my help.
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It is difficult to tell when the market will turn. People have been expecting a correction, and this may be it. Well, I've got some cash that earns next to nothing that I might use... Heh heh heh...
Hope you put the cash to work yesterday. That correction was over with fast.
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Old 11-08-2013, 06:22 PM   #83
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What?!? Are we back in exuberant mode already? Darn, the "Wh***" cycle is getting shorter and shorter. Soon, I will be day trading.

I did buy a teeny bit. That bitty portion goes up 3.49% today. Hardly makes a dent to recover the loss yesterday *, but "I've got a slow groove and I have a slow hand", and never make drastic moves. And I have also been on a culinary quest for Kaffir lime leaves, and the market did not get my full attention.

But the whole thing may go down 10% on Monday for what we know.

* I have a bit of international and emerging markets, and have to wait to see how they move on Monday.
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Old 11-08-2013, 06:32 PM   #84
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I sold some yesterday to reach my new AA. Didn't sell a bunch but I figure by not doing it Wednesday or today cost me. Dang! The good news is that Im at my goal of 65% equities where I'll stay.
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