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View Poll Results: What was the damage to your portfolio.
What damage? I gained some. 11 6.21%
-1% 18 10.17%
-2% 56 31.64%
-3% 63 35.59%
-4% 13 7.34%
-5% 4 2.26%
-6% or more 2 1.13%
I don't like this poll, I won't vote. 10 5.65%
Voters: 177. You may not vote on this poll

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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 03:44 PM   #21
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Re: Feb 27 damage

OH NO ! Not another buying opportunity !.......tom
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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 03:49 PM   #22
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Re: Feb 27 damage

I'm still only 50% stocks..... so 3% of that? The nice thing is I've had 25% in MM waiting for for things to pull back. Not trying to time the market......just needing to increase my stock portion, but not wanting to buy until a more appropriate time.
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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 04:28 PM   #23
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Re: Feb 27 damage

I bought a bunch of OSM yesterday and now I'm down .04 a share. I'm sure my stock holdings are down in the 3 to 4% range.

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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 04:30 PM   #24
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Re: Feb 27 damage

Down 1.8% today. Not too bad considering the carnage. Bonds rallied even though equities got hit >3%

Most of my equity funds are back down to mid or end-January levels. Not much carnage really. Exception: large cap stocks took a pretty big hit today.

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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 04:45 PM   #25
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Re: Feb 27 damage

Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1
Bonds rallied 2.5%, even though equities got hit >3%
Curious what bonds rallied 2.5% - long treasuries were up about 1.2%. Do you own a lot of zero-coupon issues?
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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 04:55 PM   #26
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Re: Feb 27 damage

Quote:
General / FIRE and Money / Re: Another indicator shows recession on: January 09, 2007, 01:45:22 PM
Copper is a metal with more limited speculative appeal than the other metal. It is very much a industrial metal influenced greatly by industrial consumption. A long term chart of the metal is a very intesting study and one tool to use in gauging economic activity.

The drop in copper was one of the contributors to my prediction of a -29% drop in stock market for 2006. It is correlating well with the drop on housing activity. The next step would be a drop in the stock market before the drop in economic activity would become apparent inthe large context and my very possibly flawed thinking. If the market holds up or advances in the following 3 months then I would think there will not be a recession.

I sincerely hope that I turn out to be incorrect, nothing good happens in recessions.
Shortly after I posted this I sold my 25% stock position and reset at 100% fixed income. So today I collected my interest check. Starting on March 31st I will begin to move 1% of my portfolio back into stocks each month.

Normally a bear market will last 18-24 months and that is what I expect, however I keep a watch to determine if there are indications to show my thinking is wrong. So far that has not been the case and fundamentals I follow continue to falter. In 2 years I will have about 25% back in the markets, at that point I will begin moving towards 50% in the market which is my upper limit as a percentage of my portfolio. It is only with a plan such as this that I will be able to buy into the rapid declines that occur in a bear market.
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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 05:00 PM   #27
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Re: Feb 27 damage

I am in the process of consolidating/liquidating some accounts for an anticipated move into total Vanguard portfolio - so damage was limited only to -1.3%.

Sometimes you're the windshield - sometimes you're the bug...... 8)
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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 05:01 PM   #28
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Re: Feb 27 damage

Quote:
Originally Posted by FIRE'd@51
Curious what bonds rallied 2.5% - long treasuries were up about 1.2%. Do you own a lot of zero-coupon issues?
That's how Yahoo reports things - they just show the interest rate and they list 10-yr up 2.55% and 5-yr up 3.01%. Without seeing the actual bond value I can't verify. Obviously it's squirrelly because they report in terms of the interest rate not the value.

Looks like my bonds funds in total were up about 0.43% today
My stock funds in total were down 2.90%

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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 05:06 PM   #29
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Re: Feb 27 damage


Down 1.7, not as bad as I expected.
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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 05:13 PM   #30
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Re: Feb 27 damage

Only down 1.58%. Not bad for a 50/50 allocation.

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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 05:35 PM   #31
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Re: Feb 27 damage

Down 2.4% on a 63/37

Still 1.3% up for the year not bad since I forecasted a 5%-6% return for the year.
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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 05:38 PM   #32
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Re: Feb 27 damage

Down 1.8%.
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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 05:43 PM   #33
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Re: Feb 27 damage

I don't like this poll, I won't vote. Am I the only one? It's about time some volatility came back to the market. I didn't even look at my portfolio so my guess is......down.
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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 05:49 PM   #34
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Re: Feb 27 damage

Down 3.7% on my small Roth, which is not as well diversified yet as I would like. I only started it in November. Even including today's losses I have still made a few bucks on it.

Won't know about most of my other losses until tomorrow. They should be a smaller percentage since they are better diversified.
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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 06:06 PM   #35
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Re: Feb 27 damage

I lost a years living expenses but in February I'm still ahead 9 months. Of course, tomorrow is another day.
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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 06:13 PM   #36
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Re: Feb 27 damage

a tad over 3%. Previously my best 'up' day barometer was 10.5k.... now my biggest down day barometer is 23.5k.

The best thing is, with my coming to the understanding of having an asset allocation and sticking with it long term, today doesn't faze me in the least.

I keep track of my portfolio balance monthly, it's nice to be able to look back 6 months or a year or whatever, and see how far you are still ahead since then.

- John
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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 06:15 PM   #37
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Re: Feb 27 damage

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sam
I'm sure someone on this board see 6 digits today. Ouch!
DING! DING! DING!

Nothing like living in exciting times, eh?
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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 06:34 PM   #38
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Re: Feb 27 damage

All I can say is that it could have been a lot worse today....You have to tip your hat to the intrepid heroes of the "Plunge Protection Team"........

http://early-retirement.org/forums/i...p?topic=4173.0
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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 06:37 PM   #39
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Re: Feb 27 damage

Quote:
Originally Posted by wildcat
I don't like this poll, I won't vote. Am I the only one? It's about time some volatility came back to the market. I didn't even look at my portfolio so my guess is......down.
No idea but must be down some. I am not going to worry unless it goes down 50%
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Re: Feb 27 damage
Old 02-27-2007, 06:39 PM   #40
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Re: Feb 27 damage

Down 1.6%. Not horrible but not fun to watch either. Got some cash sitting on the side lines so might nibble at a couple of things if the trend continues.
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