USK Coastie
Recycles dryer sheets
- Joined
- Dec 19, 2006
- Messages
- 347
Looking for some feedback on my Advanced FIRECalc assumptions. Here is what I'm putting in. Am I correct in my assumptions?
Annual Expenses $60,000 Includes COBRA/Purchased Medical INS. and FIT
MY SS at 2012 $16,000
DW SS at 2014 $ 8400
Reduction in spending $29,000 ( USCG Retirement and Tricare Medical to replace Purchased Medical) 2010
Portfolio $210,000 FIRECalc defaults 75% stocks/25 % bonds. Income 10% stocks 4% bonds
Expense ration 1.0 %
Portfolio reduction 2007 $30,000 Actual Retire date July 1, 2007
Retire date in FIRECalc 2008.
With these inputs I get a 95% success rate.
Actual expenses in 2006 were $45,000. Cobra from my employer is $10K/per yr and FIT will be about $4500 on the reduced income in 2008 etc.
I have identified about $8K worth of variable expenses from the $45k i.e. gas money for commuting and "fun" money that can be adjusted to fit the UP/Down of the markets.
BTW house and all vehicles are free and clear. House appraised last month at $610,000. 20 acres with 400 ft of riverfront. Its value is NOT figured into the FIRECalc assumptions. Down sizing from here would be the safety net should things go wrong.
So the question is are my assumptions correct and I can FIRE or have I missed a step or two. I know I'll get comments about risk tolerance etc.etc. If Firecalc is correct, I can certainly live with 95 % up side and a 5% down side risk. Just want to make sure I put the numbers in the right places.
Comments please.
Thanx
Annual Expenses $60,000 Includes COBRA/Purchased Medical INS. and FIT
MY SS at 2012 $16,000
DW SS at 2014 $ 8400
Reduction in spending $29,000 ( USCG Retirement and Tricare Medical to replace Purchased Medical) 2010
Portfolio $210,000 FIRECalc defaults 75% stocks/25 % bonds. Income 10% stocks 4% bonds
Expense ration 1.0 %
Portfolio reduction 2007 $30,000 Actual Retire date July 1, 2007
Retire date in FIRECalc 2008.
With these inputs I get a 95% success rate.
Actual expenses in 2006 were $45,000. Cobra from my employer is $10K/per yr and FIT will be about $4500 on the reduced income in 2008 etc.
I have identified about $8K worth of variable expenses from the $45k i.e. gas money for commuting and "fun" money that can be adjusted to fit the UP/Down of the markets.
BTW house and all vehicles are free and clear. House appraised last month at $610,000. 20 acres with 400 ft of riverfront. Its value is NOT figured into the FIRECalc assumptions. Down sizing from here would be the safety net should things go wrong.
So the question is are my assumptions correct and I can FIRE or have I missed a step or two. I know I'll get comments about risk tolerance etc.etc. If Firecalc is correct, I can certainly live with 95 % up side and a 5% down side risk. Just want to make sure I put the numbers in the right places.
Comments please.
Thanx