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Full Blown Iran-US WAR - are you reallocating assets ? Black Swan year ?
Old 01-07-2020, 08:11 PM   #1
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Full Blown Iran-US WAR - are you reallocating assets ? Black Swan year ?

So Rockets have been fired. Is this a Black Swan year ?
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Old 01-07-2020, 08:14 PM   #2
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Let me know when the nukes go off.
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Old 01-07-2020, 08:14 PM   #3
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Alarmist are we?
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Old 01-07-2020, 08:17 PM   #4
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Alarmist are we?
No, just preparing my finances for a worst-case scenario.
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Old 01-07-2020, 08:18 PM   #5
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Many of us did that years ago when we decided on our asset allocation.
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Old 01-07-2020, 08:24 PM   #6
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So Rockets have been fired. Is this a Black Swan year ?
Was there a year in the last decade when rockets didn't go off? How did the market do last decade?
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Old 01-07-2020, 08:26 PM   #7
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Either you think this is the worst thing ever or the greatest thing ever. Can't talk about it here either way.

In any case I'm not moving a dime (though I may feel better about the 1% of my NW I hold in Gold).
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Old 01-07-2020, 08:29 PM   #8
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Buy when the cannons are booming.
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Old 01-07-2020, 08:30 PM   #9
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Either you think this is the worst thing ever or the greatest thing ever.
Or the whatever thing ever.
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Old 01-07-2020, 08:30 PM   #10
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I didn't do well with moving to a safe harbor back in September (the most recent turndown), I lost out on several thousand $$, and was back in equities in October. I think I will give this a week or two and re-evaluate, but for now, I am holding fast.
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Full Blown Iran-US WAR - are you reallocating assets ? Black Swan year ?
Old 01-07-2020, 08:42 PM   #11
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Full Blown Iran-US WAR - are you reallocating assets ? Black Swan year ?

Buy the whole world’s economy through a stock and bond index allocation conservative enough to let you sleep well, leave it alone to grow and go live your lives.
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Old 01-07-2020, 08:49 PM   #12
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War has always goosed the economy. It's when war ends that the economy goes into recession.
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Old 01-07-2020, 08:54 PM   #13
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Buy LMT !
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Old 01-07-2020, 09:30 PM   #14
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Zzz...
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Old 01-07-2020, 09:36 PM   #15
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So Rockets have been fired. Is this a Black Swan year ?

Well, just by asking the question it's not a Black Swan anymore. But imagine a week or two from now, maybe, ya never know, Iran gets too giddy and over-reaches. Then "our guy" decides to throw a nuke just to teach them and everybody else who's in charge. He did say something once like "Why do we have them if we don't use them?" Not the big ones. One of those micro-sized tactickle ones. I wonder...........
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Old 01-07-2020, 09:56 PM   #16
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I was putting 20k in international bonds maybe I'll wait a couple days.
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Old 01-07-2020, 09:58 PM   #17
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I was putting 20k in international bonds maybe I'll wait a couple days.

Market timer! Why not just buy fewer. Then you can still sleep at night

(yes, I'm being whimsical)
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Old 01-07-2020, 10:01 PM   #18
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Maybe the USAF will recall me into the nuclear missile program I was in back in the day?............Oh, wait, I'm 76 and probably too old.
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Old 01-07-2020, 10:06 PM   #19
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Hard to believe that Barbara Ann parody song debuted 40 years ago. May no one make a rash decision, investment or otherwise.
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Old 01-07-2020, 10:08 PM   #20
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I don't re-allocate assets based on panic or any scary stories I hear, no matter the source.

But hey, I'm a firm buy-and-holder. Others will disagree.
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