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Old 09-05-2010, 12:10 PM   #41
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Oh Cr*P! Why didn't somebody tell me?
0.1% stock/1.4%cash/1.7%bonds/96.8% RE
Guess I missed the memo.....
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Old 09-05-2010, 03:01 PM   #42
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 73ss454 View Post
Yeah, I'd wait till there is a full recovery and then jump in.
What? Wait 5 to 7 years?
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Old 09-05-2010, 03:49 PM   #43
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Maybe longer!
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Old 09-05-2010, 03:56 PM   #44
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Oh Cr*P! Why didn't somebody tell me?
0.1% stock/1.4%cash/1.7%bonds/96.8% RE
Guess I missed the memo.....
I'm glad you've joined the forum. You know a lot about RE and are so willing to share what you've learned. I appreciate that
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Old 09-05-2010, 06:50 PM   #45
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Secular bear markets still have strong rallies.

And the S&P500 did manage to close above 1100 after all.

Audrey
I know you are timing the market so look at the update of the first chart I posted. I didn't change the line; just updated it for Friday's info.
Let's see if the down trend line holds.
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Old 09-05-2010, 07:14 PM   #46
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Dex, I don't think Audrey is timing the market. Selling and sitting on the sidelines is timing the market, no?
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Old 09-05-2010, 07:45 PM   #47
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Don't start that again.
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Old 09-05-2010, 07:47 PM   #48
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Let me sum it up:

"Is"
"Is not"
"Is"
"Is not"
"Is"
"Is not"
"Is"
"Is not"
"Is"
"Is not"
"Is"
"Is not"
...
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Old 09-05-2010, 07:48 PM   #49
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 73ss454 View Post
Dex, I don't think Audrey is timing the market. Selling and sitting on the sidelines is timing the market, no?
...
Quote:
Originally Posted by REWahoo View Post
Let me sum it up:

"Is"
"Is not"
"Is"
"Is not"
"Is"
"Is not"
"Is"
"Is not"
"Is"
"Is not"
"Is"
"Is not"
...
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Old 09-05-2010, 08:10 PM   #50
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I don't follow charts. You had expressed strong doubt that the S&P500 could close above 1100 on Friday.

Audrey
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Old 09-05-2010, 08:17 PM   #51
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I don't follow charts. You had expressed strong doubt that the S&P500 could close above 1100 on Friday.

Audrey
Confess, you looked at the charts and were surprised as I was. There isn't anything wrong with looking.

Is a guess (see below), a strong doubt?


Quote:
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Let's not forget this is a secular bear market.

The 1100 area is one place to watch, on a closing basis (it isn't a magical number - don't think if it closes above 1100 we are in a new bull market; just an area of resistance to watch). My guess is that people don't want to be long into the 3 day weekend so the S&P won't close above 1100.
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Old 09-05-2010, 08:32 PM   #52
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Confess, you looked at the charts and were surprised as I was. There isn't anything wrong with looking.
huh? What surprise? Since I can't interpret charts, they don't tell me anything except what has happened in the past.

Market goes up, goes down. The reasons escape me.

Audrey
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Old 09-05-2010, 08:34 PM   #53
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jeez, you two. Get a room!
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Old 09-05-2010, 08:40 PM   #54
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jeez, you two. Get a room!
!
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Old 09-05-2010, 08:43 PM   #55
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huh? What surprise? Since I can't interpret charts, they don't tell me anything except what has happened in the past.

Market goes up, goes down. The reasons escape me.

Audrey
Stop! You're killing me. You told us you visit a technical analysis site. You probably know more about it than I do.
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Old 09-05-2010, 08:48 PM   #56
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Stop! You're killing me.
If that's what it takes to bring an end to this thread, then I condone it...
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Old 09-05-2010, 09:03 PM   #57
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For those not familiar with technical analysis, an explanation of the charts may be in order:
When Dick Cheney's EKG reading (spikey brown line) is on an opposite and converging trend with the seismometer reading from Santa Monica (red line) and the convergence is due to occur near the Indonesian Prime Interest rate (green line) then we are due for an up day on the Dow.

It's a classic "cup and handle" (or maybe "diamond"--or "that cloud looks like an elephant to me") pattern.
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Old 09-05-2010, 09:37 PM   #58
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Stop! You're killing me. You told us you visit a technical analysis site. You probably know more about it than I do.
Yes, I regularly read a technical analysis site. For this reason, I have some idea of what my investor buddies who do T/A think at any given time, or if someone has identified a "Hindenberg Omen" or we are at a key "Bradley Turn Date".

But I have never learned T/A, and cannot, in fact, read charts myself. I do not particularly believe in it - or maybe it's that I'm just not interested in doing all that chart work, and/or don't think I would be any good anyway. My T/A investor friends also spend a lot of time talking about macro economic issues in addition to T/A, and it's the former that has me repeatedly reading the site. Besides, they are a well-informed and witty bunch of writers. Their approach to investing is so radically different to mine, that I find it very entertaining to watch how the other half invests.

Audrey
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Old 09-05-2010, 10:51 PM   #59
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Let me sum it up:

"Is"
"Is not"
"Is"
"Is not"
"Is"
"Is not"
"Is"
"Is not"
"Is"
"Is not"
"Is"
"Is not"
...
What was the question again?
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Old 09-06-2010, 08:19 AM   #60
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It's a classic "cup and handle" (or maybe "diamond"--or "that cloud looks like an elephant to me") pattern.
Ah, but don't forget the flagon with the dragon has the brew that is true!
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