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01-01-2009, 08:06 AM
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#1
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: North Oregon Coast
Posts: 16,483
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Good riddance, 2008.....
...so sayeth Fidelity in calculating my 401K's "return" in 2008:
Yuck. Of course, it was down about 36% at one point...
__________________
"Hey, for every ten dollars, that's another hour that I have to be in the work place. That's an hour of my life. And my life is a very finite thing. I have only 'x' number of hours left before I'm dead. So how do I want to use these hours of my life? Do I want to use them just spending it on more crap and more stuff, or do I want to start getting a handle on it and using my life more intelligently?" -- Joe Dominguez (1938 - 1997)
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01-01-2009, 08:18 AM
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#2
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 1,901
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ziggy29
...so sayeth Fidelity in calculating my 401K's "return" in 2008:
Yuck. Of course, it was down about 36% at one point...
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I started the year with a 50/50 allocation and I'm down 20% as of the close 12/31/2008. Now, what does 2009 have in store.:confused:
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“I guess I should warn you, if I turn out to be particularly clear, you've probably misunderstood what I've said” Alan Greenspan
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01-01-2009, 08:28 AM
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#3
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Administrator
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: N. Yorkshire
Posts: 34,130
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My end of year performance was a return of -16.45%. My worst ever, Previous worst was -11% in 2002.
According to the VG portfolio analyzer, for my mix of 40/50/10, the worst ever year was -18.0% (1931) so a bit of a recovery in the last quarter I think.
My other figures are:
Last year -16.45%
Last 3 years -0.6%
Last 5 years 2.7%
Last 10 years 3.0%
Last 14 years 8.9%
I only started recording the details from 1994 but you can see how 2 bears in 10 years hammers the returns, and this current one possibly has a ways to run yet.
All the best in 2009.
__________________
Retired in Jan, 2010 at 55, moved to England in May 2016
Enough private pension and SS income to cover all needs
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01-01-2009, 08:51 AM
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#4
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Gone but not forgotten
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Sarasota,fl.
Posts: 11,447
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-30% .Let's hope this year is better !
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01-01-2009, 09:00 AM
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#5
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 12,901
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The XIRR for my overall portfolio was -29% in 2008.
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01-01-2009, 09:35 AM
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#6
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 12,880
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My rebalancing spreadsheet tells me that tomorrow I need to move $106,000 into stocks. That's a lot. The only question is whether I do it all at once, or in several.
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Al
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01-01-2009, 09:39 AM
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#7
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Feb 2005
Location: Central MS/Orange Beach, AL
Posts: 9,072
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Alan
My end of year performance was a return of -16.45%. My worst ever, Previous worst was -11% in 2002.
According to the VG portfolio analyzer, for my mix of 40/50/10, the worst ever year was -18.0% (1931) so a bit of a recovery in the last quarter I think.
My other figures are:
Last year -16.45%
Last 3 years -0.6%
Last 5 years 2.7%
Last 10 years 3.0%
Last 14 years 8.9%
I only started recording the details from 1994 but you can see how 2 bears in 10 years hammers the returns, and this current one possibly has a ways to run yet.
All the best in 2009.
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You beat me. I was down just a little over 20% for 2008 with a 50/50 AA. But I'm moving forward. Even ditching my 'Born Loser' ID. Back to 'Full Time Golf Bum'. But if 2009 brings another 20% decline, back to 'Loser' status.
__________________
Retired 3/31/2007@52
Investing style: Full time wuss.
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01-01-2009, 09:47 AM
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#8
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 35,712
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For me, -26% in 2008. View another way, this sets me back to somewhere between 2004 and 2005, or something like 3.5 years.
Of course, it is a bit more complicated than that, since until this year, we still had some income from my part-time and freelance work, and were even able to have net savings sometimes.
Next year will be interesting for us. ER, here we come!
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01-01-2009, 10:03 AM
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#9
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Kansas City
Posts: 7,968
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-26% according to my Vanguard website - Target Retirement 2015 plus Norwegian widow stocks.
Hmmm - handgrenade and horsehoe wise about 4% SEC yield just eyeballing the dividends/interest.
Full auto - sometimes I have to sit on my hands when the urge to buy a few more dividend stocks hits.
heh heh heh - going into 16th yr of ER just going to 'force myself' to spend and not cut back 'too much' cause I'm not getting any younger. I am my own worst enemy when it comes to cheap.
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01-01-2009, 10:09 AM
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#10
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 35,712
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Buy, buy, buy.
Stocks AND bonds AND booze.
While keep cash? Truckloads will be dropped from helicopters.
Buy, buy, buy.
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01-01-2009, 10:11 AM
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#11
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: North-Central Illinois
Posts: 3,228
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In the neighborhood of -28% YTD on investments. Fortunately my pension increased just north of 7%.....and is set to do about the same in 2009! So overall, I'm still sittin' purty!
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01-01-2009, 10:41 AM
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#12
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 35,712
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Buy, buy, buy.
Actually, it's easier said than done. I have been buying very slowly. Bought some yesterday, and made a bit of money already. Instant gratification. Will see if the gain holds tomorrow.
Despite tough talks, I am a chicken. Had I have guts to move more to stocks in 2003, I would have enough now to get that house on Bainbridge Island, across the bay from Seattle, with the view of the Space Needle. Something I always wanted. Up until recently, there were none on the market. Now there are, but my pocket is light.
No guts, no glory. Yep, that's my non-glorious life.
PS. Well, I did have guts, which were all expended in failing startups that I joined.
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01-01-2009, 10:53 AM
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#13
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,743
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Quicken says -27.89% on a 65/35 mix.
Back to 3/1/2006 levels including 35K annual contributions......
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01-01-2009, 11:25 AM
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#14
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 4,764
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-38.8 % Thank god for pensions
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01-01-2009, 11:29 AM
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#15
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Texas: No Country for Old Men
Posts: 50,022
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-21.2%. SS starts in 41 days and that should give my bruised and battered nest egg a little relief.
__________________
Numbers is hard
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01-01-2009, 12:16 PM
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#16
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Administrator
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: N. Yorkshire
Posts: 34,130
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I noticed your new avatar even before I read the e-mail. I like the positive approach to '09
__________________
Retired in Jan, 2010 at 55, moved to England in May 2016
Enough private pension and SS income to cover all needs
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01-01-2009, 12:27 PM
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#17
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Administrator
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: N. Yorkshire
Posts: 34,130
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TromboneAl
My rebalancing spreadsheet tells me that tomorrow I need to move $106,000 into stocks. That's a lot. The only question is whether I do it all at once, or in several.
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My recent personal Wellesley returns are very poor and when I look I see that last year I did some TLH in December, buying $108,000 of Wellesley at $52.48/share. Bad timing, share price is now $44.57. In retrospect I should have kept the money in a MMF and DCA'ed over the year. C'est la vie
__________________
Retired in Jan, 2010 at 55, moved to England in May 2016
Enough private pension and SS income to cover all needs
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01-01-2009, 01:59 PM
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#18
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: LaLa Land
Posts: 4,698
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Alan, I think Wellesley is trading around 85 bucks. Where did you see it in the 40's?
Maybe I'm wrong but last I looked it was much higher.
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01-01-2009, 02:05 PM
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#19
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Texas: No Country for Old Men
Posts: 50,022
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 73ss454
Alan, I think Wellesley is trading around 85 bucks. Where did you see it in the 40's?
Maybe I'm wrong but last I looked it was much higher.
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Must have been a while since you looked...
VANGUARD WELLESLEY INCOME ADMIRAL
Net Asset Value: 44.57 Trade Time: Dec 31, 2008
__________________
Numbers is hard
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01-01-2009, 02:08 PM
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#20
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Administrator
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: N. Yorkshire
Posts: 34,130
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Quote:
Originally Posted by REWahoo
Must have been a while since you looked...
VANGUARD WELLESLEY INCOME ADMIRAL
Net Asset Value:44.57 Trade Time: Dec 31, 2008
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Thanks - yes, it is Admiral funds that I was talking about.
__________________
Retired in Jan, 2010 at 55, moved to England in May 2016
Enough private pension and SS income to cover all needs
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