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Great decade so far ... 2018 ?
Old 12-13-2017, 05:07 PM   #1
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Great decade so far ... 2018 ?

Here is my updated decade plot. So far it's been a smooth decade to be retired (blue line is 2010's, i.e. 2010 through Nov 2017).

Next year is anybody's guess. Since I want a smooth ride up I'll vote for that.


.
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Old 12-13-2017, 05:51 PM   #2
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As always, thank you. The trend is our friend. I hope!
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Old 12-13-2017, 06:55 PM   #3
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Woohoo! Look at the 50's, the fabulous 50's the decade I was born.

Post war boom baby boom! Pedal to the metal, go for the gold -
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Old 12-13-2017, 08:06 PM   #4
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I am excited about 2018!! The market is charging upwards and I visualize it as having lots of momentum at this point. Who knows what we will see? I can hardly wait to find out.

Financially and mentally prepared for a monstrous bear, just in case.... but happily anticipating the best ever.

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Old 12-13-2017, 08:08 PM   #5
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Oh man - I guess we're three years away from a market crash?
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Old 12-13-2017, 08:12 PM   #6
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I've never seen this one before. Cool graph bro!
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Old 12-13-2017, 08:15 PM   #7
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Oh man - I guess we're three years away from a market crash?
Or on a macro scale two decades? Notice:

40s bad
50s good
60s good
70s bad
80s good
90s good
00s bad
10s good
20s (good?)
30s (bad?)
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Old 12-13-2017, 08:37 PM   #8
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I am excited about 2018!! The market is charging upwards and I visualize it as having lots of momentum at this point. Who knows what we will see? I can hardly wait to find out.

Financially and mentally prepared for a monstrous bear, just in case.... but happily anticipating the best ever.



IOW, "whee"?
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Old 12-14-2017, 04:40 AM   #9
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Or on a macro scale two decades? Notice:

40s bad
50s good
60s good
70s bad
80s good
90s good
00s bad
10s good
20s (good?)
30s (bad?)
That's the pattern I saw, but homo sapiens are programmed to see patterns even if there are none. Be nice if it holds, though.
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Old 12-14-2017, 07:17 AM   #10
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I love patterns but unfortunately they do not foretell the future (I think). There is nothing particularly special about a decade.

It is just "calandarism" ... a word which I invented just now.

Still we speak of history in decades and it is a useful construct to remember historical events.
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Old 12-14-2017, 08:02 AM   #11
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I love patterns but unfortunately they do not foretell the future (I think). There is nothing particularly special about a decade.

It is just "calandarism" ... a word which I invented just now.
It's spelled "calendarism". (You would think the inventor would know that! )

I agree. There's nothing magic about arbitrary ten year periods. Nothing other than the calendar starts or stops on the boundaries of those periods.

And do decades start at XXX0 or XXX1?
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Old 12-14-2017, 08:31 AM   #12
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We retired in 2010. The "we retired" part is the great thing. The luck of the '10's decade has been the icing on the cake.
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Old 12-14-2017, 08:37 AM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lsbcal View Post
I love patterns but unfortunately they do not foretell the future (I think). There is nothing particularly special about a decade.

It is just "calandarism" ... a word which I invented just now.

Still we speak of history in decades and it is a useful construct to remember historical events.
Dang, if it persists I was going to suggest we call it, Lsbcal's Law".
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Old 12-14-2017, 08:52 AM   #14
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I remember looking back at VG Wellington past performance and seeing many years during the 80's and 90's with returns in the 20's and even 30 percent range - 1995 was almost 33%.

I'd be happy to have one or two years of that
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Old 12-14-2017, 08:59 AM   #15
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Dang, if it persists I was going to suggest we call it, Lsbcal's Law".
That sounds very sweet to my ears. OK, let the pattern persist into the 2020's.
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Old 12-14-2017, 09:18 AM   #16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lsbcal View Post
I love patterns but unfortunately they do not foretell the future (I think). There is nothing particularly special about a decade.

It is just "calandarism" ... a word which I invented just now.

Still we speak of history in decades and it is a useful construct to remember historical events.
Hey, don't call me a calendar-ist
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Old 12-14-2017, 09:34 AM   #17
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Originally Posted by USGrant1962 View Post
Or on a macro scale two decades? Notice:

40s bad
50s good
60s good
70s bad
80s good
90s good
00s bad
10s good
20s (good?)
30s (bad?)
I just noticed us tracking the 1990s, and you know how that ended!
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Old 12-14-2017, 09:42 AM   #18
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Originally Posted by joeea View Post
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lsbcal View Post
I love patterns but unfortunately they do not foretell the future (I think). There is nothing particularly special about a decade.

It is just "calandarism" ... a word which I invented just now.
It's spelled "calendarism". (You would think the inventor would know that! )
Maybe we could call this version of Lsbcal's Law, "colandarism":


After all, we are going through the data with a mathematical sieve, looking for some sort of predictability or meaning in all of this.
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Old 12-14-2017, 10:16 AM   #19
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Great graphs, thanks! The financial advisor my former employer uses thinks we're in the early years of a 17 year bull market. Hope he's right!
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Old 12-14-2017, 11:58 AM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Lsbcal View Post
I love patterns but unfortunately they do not foretell the future (I think). There is nothing particularly special about a decade.

It is just "calandarism" ... a word which I invented just now.

Still we speak of history in decades and it is a useful construct to remember historical events.


"dec·ade
[ˈdekād]



NOUN

decades (plural noun)
  1. a period of ten years.


  2. a set, series, or group of ten, in particular."


I guess we could cherry pick any starting year for our "decade" to get the results we want.
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