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Has FIRECalc been producing better results for you recently?
Old 03-09-2015, 07:08 PM   #1
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Has FIRECalc been producing better results for you recently?

Hi. I did a FIRECalc run in 8/14 and got a success rate of about 85% for my early retirement plan. Now, I do another run on FIRECalc today, and I get a 100% likelihood of success rate. I did make some minor changes to the data since 8/14, but I don't think it included any dramatic changes.

Is the inclusion of more recent data into FIRECalc, during the time after the recession, the reason for the likelihood of success improvement? What else could have increased my likelihood of success when investment ratio, inflation rate, expense ratio, amount of net worth, pension amount, social security amount, and expense amount have all stayed relatively the same? Thanks.

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Old 03-09-2015, 07:11 PM   #2
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I don't think the data has been updated since 8/14 - the front page says it was last updated 5/14.

Retired June 2014. No longer an enginerd - now I'm just a nerd.
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Old 03-09-2015, 07:17 PM   #3
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Originally Posted by rodi View Post
I don't think the data has been updated since 8/14 - the front page says it was last updated 5/14.

No changes to FIRECalc since last May.
Numbers is hard.

Retired in 2005 at age 58, no pension

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