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Old 01-05-2011, 06:21 AM   #21
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Stick to your plan and AA. The flavor of the day changes constantly. I'm keeping to an approx 50/50 allocation.
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Old 01-05-2011, 05:43 PM   #22
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2011 is the 3rd year of a presidential term. Since 1939 the average return for those 3rd years was 20.2%. Maybe just coincidence? Well, we can hope for a repeat.

If somebody's interested I could post detailed info but probably most don't care.
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Old 01-05-2011, 06:31 PM   #23
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Is it possible the Feds are successfully blowing the third and final bubble?This could end badly but I sure hope I'm wrong.
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Old 01-05-2011, 07:12 PM   #24
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Hi Wolfbay, there are always clouds on the investment horizon.
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Old 01-05-2011, 08:22 PM   #25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by brewer12345 View Post
Commodities simply are not a big enough market to take the potential inflows.
Sure, in a rational world. But if stocks get a setback, I wouldn't be shocked to see money start moving into commodities, driving prices up and drawing in yet more cash as folks look for growth and follow the upward line. Of course, that way lies madness.
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Old 01-05-2011, 08:22 PM   #26
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Fellows, we are the herd.
No, we are leading the herd. You've got to run faster than they do, though.

I am praying I will know to bail over the fence when the time is right.



Quote:
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Fear may have finally given way to greed...
Greed is good, particularly if someone else has more of it than you do.
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Old 01-05-2011, 09:24 PM   #27
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No, we are leading the herd.
Maybe, but on form that seems unlikely.
Ha
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Old 01-05-2011, 09:42 PM   #28
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lsbcal View Post
2011 is the 3rd year of a presidential term. Since 1939 the average return for those 3rd years was 20.2%. Maybe just coincidence? Well, we can hope for a repeat.

If somebody's interested I could post detailed info but probably most don't care.
I am not sure so many are looking at things by calendar year any more .... the average trade is measured in seconds ... and a long term investor might be looking at just weeks or months

it's nice to guess where the market will be on December 31, 2011 ... but if I am being active instead of passive (not recommending one over the other) .... I need to know where the market is going to be in two weeks
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Old 01-06-2011, 04:57 AM   #29
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Greed is good, particularly if someone else has more of it than you do.
Another "Signature Line" candidate.
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