Join Early Retirement Today
Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Holy cr@p, the sky is falling...
Old 09-09-2008, 02:52 PM   #1
Dryer sheet aficionado
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Ottawa Canada
Posts: 30
Holy cr@p, the sky is falling...

...my FIRE depends on the TSE and it fell another 500 points today.

I now need to die 3 years earlier :-(

Best to hunker down, enjoy my classes, and hobbies, until brighter skies. I can't add to the camera collection, but I can shot more of my stockpile of film.

How are you weathering this?

Vick
vickko is offline   Reply With Quote
Join the #1 Early Retirement and Financial Independence Forum Today - It's Totally Free!

Are you planning to be financially independent as early as possible so you can live life on your own terms? Discuss successful investing strategies, asset allocation models, tax strategies and other related topics in our online forum community. Our members range from young folks just starting their journey to financial independence, military retirees and even multimillionaires. No matter where you fit in you'll find that Early-Retirement.org is a great community to join. Best of all it's totally FREE!

You are currently viewing our boards as a guest so you have limited access to our community. Please take the time to register and you will gain a lot of great new features including; the ability to participate in discussions, network with our members, see fewer ads, upload photographs, create a retirement blog, send private messages and so much, much more!

Old 09-09-2008, 03:02 PM   #2
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 2,024
Quote:
Originally Posted by vickko View Post
How are you weathering this?
Not very well. I am now in the middle of my second major cold/flu this summer, and much of it can be traced to the stress of watching our early retirement dreams go out the window.

The one positive is that I switched us to a very conservative 20/80 two months ago. So, rather than suffer through massive bleeding on any one day, we are just going through the pain of a thousand paper cuts.
statsman is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 03:07 PM   #3
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
haha's Avatar
 
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Hooverville
Posts: 22,983
Quote:
Originally Posted by vickko View Post
I now need to die 3 years earlier :-(
We can help with this. See the bacon threads. Also, be sure to put heavy cream on most everything that is not bacon.

Ha
__________________
"As a general rule, the more dangerous or inappropriate a conversation, the more interesting it is."-Scott Adams
haha is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 03:17 PM   #4
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,080
Quote:
Originally Posted by vickko View Post
How are you weathering this?
Just fine, my income stream has been unaffected (actually it has gone up in the last 3 months as companies announce dividend increases).
I just wish I had more cash available to DCA in a bit more than I am.
__________________
"We do not inherit the earth from our ancestors, we borrow it from our children.
(Ancient Indian Proverb)"
Zathras is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 03:21 PM   #5
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
retire@40's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 2,670
Try to remember this feeling next year at this time.

I predict when the market rebounds, you won't remember the pain unless you really try.
__________________
No man is free who is not master of himself. --- Epictetus
Enjoy Yourself (It's Later Than You Think). --- Guy Lombardo
retire@40 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 03:29 PM   #6
Recycles dryer sheets
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 488
Quote:
Originally Posted by retire@40 View Post
Try to remember this feeling next year at this time.

I predict when the market rebounds, you won't remember the pain unless you really try.
What is going to cause it to rebound? More government bailouts?
Razor is offline   Reply With Quote
reasons...
Old 09-09-2008, 03:32 PM   #7
Dryer sheet aficionado
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Ottawa Canada
Posts: 30
reasons...

....consumers settle down and regain confidence
....new gov't in both Canada and USA restore optimism
....real estate values settle down. Not up, not down, just right, whatever that is
....people get back to the business of "get on with it", instead of pessimistic panic

That should bring order back to things.
vickko is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 03:33 PM   #8
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,080
Don't know, could be alternative energy stocks, could be the weeding out of a bunch of weaker companies/stocks, a more solid fiscal environment.
If I knew exactly what was going to cause it to rebound I would be incredibly wealthy
Perhaps retire@40 does know
__________________
"We do not inherit the earth from our ancestors, we borrow it from our children.
(Ancient Indian Proverb)"
Zathras is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 03:45 PM   #9
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
cute fuzzy bunny's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Losing my whump
Posts: 22,708
I see no reason to hold the heavy cream ON the bacon. Even though it drives Ladelfina nuts, my Carbonara recipe includes bacon, cheese, cream, and so forth. They go deliciously with each other.

If you're an accumulator that hasnt retired yet, this is all good news. If you have cash, bueno. Next month everything bounces back.

If you're an early retiree and this is driving you batshit, you didnt implement a portfolio consistent with your risk tolerance...so after next month when things return to normal, fix that before we revisit this scenario in 3-5 more years.

In the meanwhile, everyone have a cocktail and watch something fun on tv this evening, then have a round of massive, screaming sex, and forget about this BS for about 30-45 days.
__________________
Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful. Just another form of "buy low, sell high" for those who have trouble with things. This rule is not universal. Do not buy a 1973 Pinto because everyone else is afraid of it.
cute fuzzy bunny is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 04:13 PM   #10
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 4,764
And people were worried about all the boomers retiring at once

LOL
Notmuchlonger is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 04:21 PM   #11
Recycles dryer sheets
 
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 488
Quote:
Originally Posted by vickko View Post
....consumers settle down and regain confidence
....new gov't in both Canada and USA restore optimism
....real estate values settle down. Not up, not down, just right, whatever that is
....people get back to the business of "get on with it", instead of pessimistic panic

That should bring order back to things.
Or
...... Consumers, so deep in debt realize they can't continue spending at previous levels. Confidence fades.
.....New governments with the same old spend and borrow programs make things even worse. They made too many promises they can not keep.
..... Real estate values plummet due to the millions of foreclosures, interest rates resetting, and surplus of homes on the market
.....people get on with it and do the best they can with ever increasing health care costs, energy prices, inflation, layoffs, downsizing, reduction in wages and benifits.......
I do believe it will get worse before it gets better. Not a pessimist, just a realist. I hope I am wrong.
Razor is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 04:25 PM   #12
Moderator Emeritus
W2R's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: New Orleans
Posts: 47,498
Hey, yesterday it went up, and today it went down - - it will all balance out in the long run.

Don't forget to smell the roses along the way (or watch the squirrels). 8)
__________________
Already we are boldly launched upon the deep; but soon we shall be lost in its unshored, harbourless immensities. - - H. Melville, 1851.

Happily retired since 2009, at age 61. Best years of my life by far!
W2R is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 04:30 PM   #13
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 4,764
I hear roses grow great in bone meal. So something had to die for them to do well
Notmuchlonger is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 04:32 PM   #14
Moderator Emeritus
 
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 12,901
We are weathering this by taking advantage of a lower stock/RE market. Our net income is up more than $8K from last year, yet we are slashing our expenses. Last year we spent about $69K for the entire year, this year I project the final number to be between $61K and $63K. So it gives us an extra $14K-$16K to invest. My wife didn't even noticed I had made some budget cuts, so me think that I could probably tighten the belt a little bit more, heh heh heh
FIREd is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 04:37 PM   #15
Recycles dryer sheets
slouch's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 155
Quote:
Originally Posted by cute fuzzy bunny View Post
Next month everything bounces back.
<SNIP>
forget about this BS for about 30-45 days.
What is the thought process behind 30-45 days? Are you basing this solely on seasonal trends - e.g., is it just that the historically worst month of the year will be over and then the usual xmas rally starts to kick in?

Thanks
slouch is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 04:47 PM   #16
Moderator Emeritus
CuppaJoe's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: At The Cafe
Posts: 6,873
TSE, thanks that's my new word for today. Maybe you could change it to TSP, add sugar, cook with bacon wrapped in chocolate with a side of mac and cheese. Lemon custard pie for dessert.

One day games are for Monopoly on holidays. Forget the railroads, put up all the hotels you can.

I got my financial advice today on a balloon at WaMu, must have been left over from the '80s: Don't worry, be happy. Really, with a big
CuppaJoe is offline   Reply With Quote
I'm not even for the year
Old 09-09-2008, 04:48 PM   #17
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
2B's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Houston
Posts: 4,337
I'm not even for the year

I feel that my post several months ago stateing I was even for the year caused this downdraft. I would now like the Wall Street god to accept my penance and end this unholy drop. I confess my offense to the WS god.

Oh well, I've lived through worse. I do find myself calculating how long I can live on my fixed income/cash portion of my portfolio. Also, I calculate how much I can spend if I want to make it to 85 without touching my equities. What's scary is how much I can spend over the next 28 years if only my LTC will depend only on my equities.

For the record I used to dream about having as much as my portfolio fell today. I'm down 9.1% YTD and that's over 2 years of living expenses. The good news is my family doesn't have a great longevity.
__________________
The object of life is not to be on the side of the majority, but to escape finding oneself in the ranks of the insane -- Marcus Aurelius
2B is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 04:49 PM   #18
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
 
Join Date: Mar 2003
Posts: 18,085
Quote:
Originally Posted by slouch View Post
What is the thought process behind 30-45 days? Are you basing this solely on seasonal trends - e.g., is it just that the historically worst month of the year will be over and then the usual xmas rally starts to kick in?

Thanks
{Moderator edit}
__________________
"All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others."

- George Orwell

Ezekiel 23:20
brewer12345 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 04:50 PM   #19
Recycles dryer sheets
 
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 290
Huh? The Dow is down 280, after going up 290 the day before. So the two-day net is +10. And this is bad because...?

Added: Oops, not the Dow, the TSX. Well, is it still higher than it was two years ago...

(Reading for comprehension: -10 points.)
bpp3 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 09-09-2008, 05:20 PM   #20
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Leonidas's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Where the stars at night are big and bright
Posts: 2,847
I'm channeling Uncle Mick here: Stop watching the market - it will only mess with your head. Turn off CNBC, log off of Quicken, and go have some fun.
__________________
There is no pleasure in having nothing to do; the fun is having lots to do and not doing it. - Andrew Jackson
Leonidas is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 
Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are Off
Pingbacks are Off
Refbacks are Off


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
The Sky May Actully Be Falling yakers FIRE and Money 75 07-15-2008 02:04 PM
The sky really is falling... REWahoo Other topics 53 02-21-2008 01:16 PM
Is the sky falling? Dow is way down any hope Sunny101 FIRE and Money 45 11-14-2007 07:53 PM
The sky is falling, the sky is falling greg FIRE and Money 110 08-24-2005 01:17 AM
Re: The sky is falling wabmester Other topics 28 04-21-2004 07:21 AM

» Quick Links

 
All times are GMT -6. The time now is 01:36 AM.
 
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.8 Beta 1
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.