How does your stash compare to this?

You need to write a 'how to' book. Most people lost that much with a 'balanced' portfolio.

It would be more like a 'how to' paragraph.

Follow a few dozen large, top quality companies which have long records of rising earnings, rising dividends, sensible capital allocations, and no major stupid decisions. Pick a method of valuing each based on current PE and growth rate. Put an equal amount of money in each of the half of the stocks that have the best "calculated price" to "current stock price" ratio. Whenever one you own goes too high, trade it in for the best value of those you do not own. The tough part - whenever a company makes a big stupid decision, or becomes non-analyzable for some reason, redline it (stay out of it) for 5-10 years.
 
Average return

The TSP sent me my annual statement and seemed to figure out my rate of return by not counting my annual contributions. Something like -37%.

Never really looked at those statements. I am down 7% but when I look at the current value divided by the lifetime contributions, I get 2.0. So 100% in 24 years. Average of 4% per year. (End of 2008!) Another interesting thing is current year contributions $26K, losses for 2008 $26K. Someone is eating my contributions (chuckle).

But it does show the type of differences/confusions in total savings that we encounter between the SWs (still working) and the REs in these discussions.
 
The TSP sent me my annual statement and seemed to figure out my rate of return by not counting my annual contributions. Something like -37%.

They say it's some sort of time-weighted system. My TSP annual statement says my rate of return was -12%. Not bad, eh? Nyah, nyah, gloat gloat!! no, not really! :LOL: There is nothing to gloat about. I lost correspondingly more in my other investments. My lower losses in the TSP were by no means due to astute investing, but instead they were simply due to my AA strategy.

The reason it looks so good is that I DCA'd into the G Fund for the first nine months of the year, since my plan is to eventually get to 100% G Fund as part of the bond portion of my AA. As you know, G Fund is a government treasury bond fund that does not lose value. I suspended DCA'ing in October, but right now, with market losses I am at nearly 88% G Fund.

Most of my losses were outside of the TSP. For example, my Roth IRA lost 34% in 2008 - - oof.
 
Yeah, I'm 20% in G fund. Bulk of my losses were in the C, S and I funds.
My roth took a beating too, its value fell below what I have into it.
Oh well...
 
Down about 32% from the all-time high.

Conversely, if I'd been in CD-like instruments all these years, I'd have maybe $150k less than I do now, though I wouldn't have "lost" anything. I'll take that trade...
 
Back
Top Bottom