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12-24-2018, 02:34 PM
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#122
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 11,078
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chuckanut
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The bears are sleepy. Let's not wake them.
I love the bit about grizzly bears having federal protection, so if you shoot one there's an investigation. Really? I'm going to just stand there and let something eat me? I had a different plan.
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12-24-2018, 02:58 PM
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#123
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 35,712
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NW-Bound
-1. Not yet.
The S&P high was 2940.91. It closed today at 2467.42. That's -16.1% down. Only 4 more percents to go. It may make it there before New Year. Plenty of time for us to celebrate NY and start 2019 in the pits. Why rush it?
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Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1
OK - I think you can call it a bear now!
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S&P closed at 2351.10 today, which is 79.99% of the recent high.
Hurrah, it is officially a bear market.
We can now all celebrate Christmas with the bear awakened.
Do we have a word for the market being down 30%? Let's prepare to celebrate NY with that milestone too.
__________________
"Old age is the most unexpected of all things that happen to a man" -- Leon Trotsky (1879-1940)
"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
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12-24-2018, 03:08 PM
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#124
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 35,712
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chuckanut
So, is it a black bear or a grizzly bear?
And even more important... Is it attacking because it sees you as a threat, or does it see you as prey?
https://www.businessinsider.com/clin...attack-2016-12
Quote:
If playing dead does not cause the bear to lose interest, you are the rare victim of a predatory attack. The bear intends to kill and possibly eat you, so fight back with any available weapons—a knife, sticks, rocks, your fists. Aim for the eyes and nose, where the bear is most sensitive.
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Its color is brown!
Should have deployed my pepper spray, but it's too late. Have to play dead now, and hope for the best.
__________________
"Old age is the most unexpected of all things that happen to a man" -- Leon Trotsky (1879-1940)
"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
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12-24-2018, 03:14 PM
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#125
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Moderator
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: Flyover country
Posts: 25,362
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Maybe it's this sort of bear?
panda.jpg
__________________
I thought growing old would take longer.
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12-24-2018, 03:16 PM
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#126
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: NC Triangle
Posts: 5,807
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Remember: you don’t lose (or gain) a penny until you sell.
__________________
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12-24-2018, 03:29 PM
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#127
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Syracuse
Posts: 3,502
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Maybe we'll get lucky and get these bears. images.jpeg
__________________
“No, not rich. I am a poor man with money, which is not the same thing"
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12-24-2018, 03:31 PM
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#128
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 979
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Maybe we should just acknowledge this was, in large part, caused by the "elephant" in the room?
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12-24-2018, 03:40 PM
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#129
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 1,934
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NOW it's a bear.
__________________
And if I claim to be a wise man, it surely means that I don't know.
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12-24-2018, 03:58 PM
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#130
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 11,078
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NW-Bound
Its color is brown!
Should have deployed my pepper spray, but it's too late. Have to play dead now, and hope for the best.
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Not all brown bears are mean. She's a little cutie. 50.jpeg
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12-24-2018, 04:09 PM
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#131
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: May 2006
Location: west coast, hi there!
Posts: 8,809
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Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1
I don’t believe that the retail investor is controlling the market.
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+1
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12-24-2018, 04:19 PM
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#132
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 13,150
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Onward
NOW it's a bear.
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Look on the bright side, since World War II bear markets on average lasted only about 13 months :
Quote:
Since World War II, bear markets on average have fallen 30.4 percent and have lasted 13 months, according to analysis by Goldman Sachs and CNBC. When that milestone has been hit, it took stocks an average of 21.9 months to recover.
Even when stocks enter “correction” territory, which is defined by at least a 10 percent drop from a recent high, there’s a long road to recovery. History shows corrections last four months, and equities slide 13 percent before finding a bottom.
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https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/24/what...lly-last-.html
__________________
Have you ever seen a headstone with these words
"If only I had spent more time at work" ... from "Busy Man" sung by Billy Ray Cyrus
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12-24-2018, 04:42 PM
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#133
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: St. Charles
Posts: 3,919
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Not time to buy yet. DW shops at Kohl's. Need to have a 30% off coupon before you can buy anything.
20% doesn't cut it.
__________________
If your not living on the edge, you're taking up too much space.
Never slow down, never grow old!
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12-24-2018, 04:52 PM
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#134
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Feb 2017
Location: Weatherford Texas
Posts: 456
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Honestly, I am kind of relieved to see it finally arrive so we can begin the countdown to the recovery. And I fully understand we may be quite a ways from the bottom.
I retired June 1 and still have 2 1/2 years expenses split between a Stable value fund for 2019 and early 2020, and the rest in Lockheed Martin bonds yielding ~3.4% (coupon 4.5%) that matures Nov 15, 2019. So barring unforeseen emergencies I won't need to sell an equity until 1st or 2nd qtr 2021.
__________________
Retired June 1, 2018
RE AA 65/35
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12-24-2018, 04:54 PM
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#135
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 550
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Quote:
Originally Posted by steelyman
Remember: you don’t lose (or gain) a penny until you sell.
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That is what keeps me from selling. YTD drop of almost 13%
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12-26-2018, 02:28 PM
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#136
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Portland
Posts: 1,713
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Shortest Bear market evah. Dow up 1k! Nasdaq up 3 and a half bills
Whew
I only check my portfolio on up days. Guess who is pulling out the calculator tonight?
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12-26-2018, 02:32 PM
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#137
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2018
Location: Tampa
Posts: 11,299
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scrapr
Shortest Bear market evah. Dow up 1k! Nasdaq up 3 and a half bills
Whew
I only check my portfolio on up days. Guess who is pulling out the calculator tonight?
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Okay so since the SP 500 and Nasdaq hit 20%, but not the Dow, is it official that the Bull Market ended?
Not to ruin the party, but some of the largest % gains was in 2008.
__________________
TGIM
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12-26-2018, 02:44 PM
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#138
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 35,712
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scrapr
Shortest Bear market evah. Dow up 1k! Nasdaq up 3 and a half bills
Whew
I only check my portfolio on up days. Guess who is pulling out the calculator tonight?
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The market has to reclaim its previous high for the bear market to end. Long way to go.
__________________
"Old age is the most unexpected of all things that happen to a man" -- Leon Trotsky (1879-1940)
"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
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12-26-2018, 02:55 PM
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#139
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Crownsville
Posts: 3,746
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Just out of curiosity, how long does the market have to stay down, for it to count as a bear? FWIW, I just ran my own numbers, and as of Christmas Eve, I was down about 17.4% from the end of September, which was where I had peaked.
And, when I look at my numbers for the year, things don't look so scary. For 2018 as a whole, I'm down about 11.5%. This has also been a good lesson in the old adage of focusing on the percentages, rather than actual dollar amounts. That 11.5% translates into a larger $ amount than what I lost back in 2008! But, percentage-wise, I lost about 42%, back then...
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12-26-2018, 03:02 PM
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#140
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Rio Grande Valley
Posts: 38,148
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I don’t believe there is any duration requirement.
__________________
Retired since summer 1999.
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