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Old 02-06-2015, 09:26 AM   #21
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These "doubling down" strategies seem like you "can't lose", but there's a famous quote from John Maynard Keynes:

"The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent"

John Maynard Keynes :: Keynes The Speculator

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Old 02-06-2015, 06:39 PM   #22
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Originally Posted by audreyh1 View Post
In "fairness" it sounds like the FA doesn't count it as a "big" down year unless it's down at least 15%. So 2000 wouldn't have counted. But maybe at the end of 2001, the two years combined were well over 20% so perhaps the first allocation shift would have happened at the end of 2001, and the second at the end of 2002.

But I think most investors would feel a pinch from a down 9% year like 2000. I remember at the end of 2002 it seemed to most investors as if the world was coming to an end!!!

Especially us 1999 retirees!!!
Amen to that!. I ER'd at the end of 2002 and quite frankly at first I thought maybe I'd leaked all my antifreeze. As it turned out it was a great time to ER as the market pretty much went straight up for the next 5 years - up a bit too much as it turned out...but that's another story.

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