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Re: Market Timing Article today.............
Old 08-30-2004, 01:57 PM   #21
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Re: Market Timing Article today.............

? Hmmmmm - A lifetime supply of dryer sheets with an online calculator to estimate 'expected number of recyles per sheet' based on historical performance per brand. Probably using data only going back to 1946 - earlier data being corrupted by clothes line bias.

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Re: Market Timing Article today.............
Old 08-30-2004, 05:48 PM   #22
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Re: Market Timing Article today.............

This whole summer/fall,ive thought about wouldnt it be nice if you could pre pay gasoline?Lock in a particular price times X gallons.It would be completely volluntary,cash/credit up front.payable on delivery,sort of like a personal futures account.
You used to be able to do that, sort of. Years ago, Priceline let you bid on gas - you'd buy a certain number of gallons for a certain price. It would have made a useful hedging strategy.

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Re: Market Timing Article today.............
Old 09-01-2004, 10:35 AM   #23
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Re: Market Timing Article today.............

There seems to be a lot of money floating around - bonds are expensive (relative to the amount of interest you get), stocks are expensive, real estate is expensive...
The extra money comes from the fed. They print more money, loan it to banks, and the banks buy treasury bills with it. This keeps interest rates down, and raises inflation. Because of this, people that used to invest in commercial paper and bonds can no longer earn a decent after tax/inflation return on bonds/commercial paper, so they switched to stocks and real estate. This lowers the dividend yield on the S&P, and raises home prices.

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