As we approach the end of each month I drag out old reliable for inspiration.* The numbers are not really important - it's the trend.* Almost any series of years you crunch (at least 15 years provides the same trend).
It is effective in at least two ways.
1.* If the trailing 3 to 6 months are in line with the chart, the possibility is strong that the next month will follow suit.* If the numbers are off, all bets are off for the short term.
2. For those struggling with the age old question=Lump sum or a little now, a little later, this is a decent macro timing tool.
Anyway, based on this chart and the past few months, I'd bet on a weaker March.* A gain would be nice, but a break even may end up being a gift.
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