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View Poll Results: Where are you investing the majority of new money?
Equities 21 58.33%
Bonds 7 19.44%
Cash Accounts 8 22.22%
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No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-03-2005, 02:51 PM   #1
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No Bubble for the DOW

I just checked the DOW only to see we are at about the same level we were 5 years ago at 10.5K.* I guess we don't need to worry about a bubble in the stock market.
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-03-2005, 02:53 PM   #2
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

Gee and the s&p500 is right up there too, at what was a bubble level in 00.

That nasdaq is lagging though. The eyeballs thing didnt work out. Maybe we can try buttocks or big toes or something, see if we can thrash it back up to 5000-6000.

Isnt that dang dow supposed to hit 36000 within a few years?
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-03-2005, 02:56 PM   #3
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

Maybe too many people were cashing out of the stock market to buy real estate?
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-03-2005, 04:14 PM   #4
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

SmartMoney has an article stating it will be a bull market from June to November, 05 but will experience a step decline in 2006 to 2007. The prediction is based on hostorical events, such as wars, etc.
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-03-2005, 04:28 PM   #5
 
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

Quote:
Isnt that dang dow supposed to hit 36000 within a few years?
There are fools at both ends of the Spectrum!
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-03-2005, 04:40 PM   #6
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

Quote:
Originally Posted by th

That nasdaq is lagging though.* The eyeballs thing didnt work out. Maybe we can try buttocks...
You're on to something!! We should co-manage an Internet Porn mutual fund. Well diversified amonst a variety of 20 sites. Hmmmm.....
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-03-2005, 05:15 PM   #7
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

So far the voting works out to roughly 60% equities and 40% bonds/cash.* We're a collective balanced fund!
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-03-2005, 06:26 PM   #8
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

Huh...i'm at about 48/38/14 stocks/bonds/cash...not too far from the overall results...
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-03-2005, 06:39 PM   #9
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

hmmmm

Ballpark 78/12/10 - BUT 25% of the 78% is 10% REIT Index plus a 15% boatload of dividend stocks - lots of utilities, lessor amounts of banks, oils, telephone, drugs - the usual suspects.

Coughing out - around 3.94% div/interest Norwegian widow wise. Aka marked to market.
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-03-2005, 06:40 PM   #10
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

Same here...about 10 of that 48 is REIT. Another ~10 is sector stuff (healthcare, energy, etc)
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-03-2005, 09:04 PM   #11
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

new money -> 60% equity 20% bond 20% money mkt
existing money -> 30% equity 20 % bond 50% money mkt
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-03-2005, 09:13 PM   #12
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

It slices and dices; it'll saw an engine block in half, and still cut a tomato paper thin..........

EQUITIES - 44.1, BOND - 20.2, REIT - 12.3, METALS/TIMBER - 11.3, CASH - 12.1

Somewhat misleading, though, since most is in ETFs or funds. All new money currently going to the three funds listed first; most divvies to DRIPs.

US LCB - 10.8
US SCB - 10.7
INTL LCB - 10.6
SCV - 4.0
EM - 5.0
MISC 3.0

US REIT - 7.2
INTL REIT - 5.1


PREC MTL/GLD - 10.2
PCL - 1.3

TIP - 16.4
STBF - 3.8

CASH - 12.2
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-03-2005, 09:41 PM   #13
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

All my new money is going toward paying off my mortgage. I don't like the valuations of the stock market and the housing sector has me a bit worried. This is my plan for the next 6 - 12 months till the mortgage gets paid off, then ...
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-03-2005, 11:11 PM   #14
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

Quote:
Originally Posted by Have Funds, Will Retire
It slices and dices; it'll saw an engine block in half, and still cut a tomato paper thin..........
But does it make julienne fries?

If it doesnt do that, it aint worth jack...
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-04-2005, 12:05 AM   #15
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

Quote:
Originally Posted by th


Isnt that dang dow supposed to hit 36000 within a few years?
They just had that author on Fox News a couple of days ago, I guess he crawled out from his rock, and he hasn't missed a beat, we are going to the moon, according to him. The host said, "yeah, but Dow 36000 didn't work out." Which he replied, "oh, it will!"

"When?"

Blandly, "Oh, about 14 years." .........thanks.
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-04-2005, 06:35 AM   #16
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

Quote:
Originally Posted by Marshac
new money -> 60% equity 20% bond 20% money mkt
existing money -> 30% equity 20 % bond 50% money mkt
We don't have any "new money". My "junk" NAVs have fallen like a
stone as expected. More quality issues (mostly very long term) have held up well so far. Anyway, currently (roughly):

14% HY funds, 10% gov. backed bonds, 10% CDs/MMs, 16% junk and 50% real estate.

JG
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW
Old 06-04-2005, 11:29 AM   #17
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Re: No Bubble for the DOW

Domestic Value & International Flava

Ba da bing ba da boom

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