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Old 10-08-2011, 10:09 AM   #21
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Originally Posted by Chuckanut View Post
i have used several of the Monte Carlo calculators including FireCalc.
My apology if you are already aware of this, but FIRECalc is not a Monte Carlo calculator. The real value of FIRECalc is that it uses actual market performance history (although it does have a Monte Carlo option if you select the "random performance" button on the "Portfolio Perfomance" tab). By using actual history...
If you get a "100% success rate" with what you have and what you plan to spend, this means that you would have been able to maintain your standard of living and not run out of money, despite the worst that we've ever seen, including the Great Depression.
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Old 10-08-2011, 10:27 AM   #22
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Originally Posted by palomalou View Post
I've been using 3% in ORP--a good conservative estimate? Or still too high?
What are you using for inflation?

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