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View Poll Results: How low will it go
10% - We are pretty much done, buy buy buy. 69 28.75%
20% - Looks like it will be a bit longer to find a bottom. 133 55.42%
30% - More like a real bear market. 24 10.00%
40% - A bad bear market. 7 2.92%
50% - A really bad bear market. 2 0.83%
>50% - Stock up on gold, guns and ammo, the end is near. 5 2.08%
Voters: 240. You may not vote on this poll

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Poll: How low will it go...
Old 02-05-2018, 05:33 PM   #1
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Poll: How low will it go...

Just for fun, how low will the current decline go before reaching the bottom. On my part, just a wild guess of course (I am usually wrong on my projections), but if the low interest rate environment that supported high multiples is coming to an end it means the high multiples will come to an end as well.

Edit: I meant >50% of course, don't know how to fix it.
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Old 02-05-2018, 05:42 PM   #2
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It's kind of fun watching the financial porn channels and my opinion is, they are as clueless as everyone else. Just to throw out some other variables I didn't hear mentioned much; new fed chair, a government that can't fund itself for more than a week at a time, divided and unstable political arena, an over bought market, profit taking en mass. But who knows, dilly, dilly ?
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Old 02-05-2018, 05:45 PM   #3
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The results of the poll are public.
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Old 02-05-2018, 05:50 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CaliforniaMan View Post
Edit: I meant >50% of course, don't know how to fix it.
Fixed it.
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Old 02-05-2018, 05:50 PM   #5
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Inflation is a concern, along with higher rates. Look for 6% inflation.
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Old 02-05-2018, 05:52 PM   #6
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Old 02-05-2018, 05:52 PM   #7
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While my crystal ball is just as cloudy as the next guy's, I picked 20% so no changes for me.
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Old 02-05-2018, 05:54 PM   #8
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The results of the poll are public.
I meant to make it private, I guess I forgot to check that box. Maybe a moderator can fix it. I am assuming that in a public poll, anyone can see how you voted, and in a private one they cannot? Is that correct?
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Old 02-05-2018, 05:56 PM   #9
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I meant to make it private, I guess I forgot to check that box. Maybe a moderator can fix it.
Done. And the answer to your question is yes.
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Old 02-05-2018, 06:03 PM   #10
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Unable to see any polls on mobile device but my vote is yawn if that is an option.
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Old 02-05-2018, 06:15 PM   #11
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Unable to see any polls on mobile device but my vote is yawn if that is an option.
If you go to the menu at the top right of the screen to the right of the thread title, you can select to copy the URL... Then paste it into a browser on your phone. At least that's how it works for Android.

I just voted, from my phone, while waiting for my son's doctor appt.
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Old 02-05-2018, 06:26 PM   #12
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I'd vote for 15%, as 20% is too severe.
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Old 02-05-2018, 06:32 PM   #13
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Other than that Mr. Powell, how was your first day on the job?
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Old 02-05-2018, 06:40 PM   #14
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I voted 20%.

Will be interesting within a week or two to see if there is a bounce.

If not, then ... gulp .
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Old 02-05-2018, 06:43 PM   #15
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Are you really voting what you think will happen, or what you WISH will happen?
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Old 02-05-2018, 07:13 PM   #16
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I have no idea but will guess somewhere around 15%. It's never fun to watch but long past due.
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Old 02-05-2018, 07:57 PM   #17
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Where is the option for "probably no more than any historical bear market, but really who gives a ****?" I'd vote for that. LOL

(NOTE: Seriously? A curse word filter? What the holy hell? Is this kindergarten?)
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Old 02-05-2018, 08:05 PM   #18
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I have no idea how low. But as others said when it was going up, the opposite.

In my humble macro-econ 101 mindset, the market multiples were out of whack. I do know that my stop losses executed locking in my gains, for what it's worth.
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Old 02-05-2018, 08:06 PM   #19
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Inflation is a concern, along with higher rates. Look for 6% inflation.
If that happens, it would be okay with me.
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Old 02-05-2018, 09:05 PM   #20
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(NOTE: Seriously? A curse word filter? What the holy hell? Is this kindergarten?)
It doesn't block certain British swear words though admittedly, the ones I tried are considered pretty mild by today's standards
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