Poll: S&P 500 2016

[MichaelB]

Forum members projection for the S&P 500 for 2016

Edit to add - I included some numbers. Assuming both CPI and the dividend rate are both 1.9%.

I think the S&P will increase more than CPI but single digit.

 

[ziggy29]

I'll say it finishes the year at 1933.

 

[utrecht]

Sp500......2293

 

[Dawg52]

1954....the year I was born.

 

[hnzw_rui]

I voted positive > CPI. However, I'm expecting CPI to be just 0-1.5% so not really expecting it to increase much. Maybe just 1-3% nominal or something.

 

[karen1972]

Ok, I'll play.

I'm expecting just a touch over 5% return S&P closing at 2155; however I expect it to hit a new high 2nd half after another pullback in late Q1 (which I think oil will play a big role in) but drop after elections as no one will be happy with the elections and claim "uncertainty".

 

[jfn111]

If there continues to be uncertainty in Europe and Asia, the US could be the safe harbor for foreign funds. I'm going with an 8% increase in the S&P to 2206.

 

[GravitySucks]

I think we are going sideways for another year.
S&P at 2080.

 

[Lsbcal]

Up a lot.
I love all the pessimism here about the future.

 

[VFK57]

I think it is going to be flat.

 

[Closet_Gamer]

Negative single digit...7 year bull run, rising interest rates, unicorn tech bubble...I feel like it's time to pay the piper...

 

[braumeister]

2085

 

[Mulligan]

Poll: S&P 500 2016

I think we are going sideways for another year.
S&P at 2080.

That is what I am thinking, but maybe with a few more wild rides up and down. Continued low long term interest rates will probably help provide a market underpinning of sorts.


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[dallas27]

The only bet i would make is that every guess in here is wrong.


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[38Chevy454]

I am more in the basically flat camp, but with more than typical volatility. Seems increased volatility is becoming the new norm. The election will certainly have an effect, if nothing else the Dem party in whitehouse will want to make numbers look good before the election. In the end approx 50% of people will not be happy with results.

I would like to have nice positive growth, but my feeling is kind of like this year, deja vu all over again.

 

[tulak]

2166

 

[Mulligan]

The only bet i would make is that every guess in here is wrong.


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Someone has to be right as we have all the bases covered....up, down, and sideways....


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[papadad111]

Poll: S&P 500 2016

1850 in 2016

Recession in 2017.

 

[Fedup]

Poll: S&P 500 2016

I'll play. 2016 for 2016. Haha. But I think there is a recession for 2017.


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[DEC-1982]

I chose greater than CPI, but I was confused by the "flat to 2082" part. I am thinking 2200 which is more than 2082; it is single digit more than CPI but not double digit.

 

[Fermion]

1700

 

[Ed_The_Gypsy]

I think it is going to be flat.

+1

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[Ed_The_Gypsy]

Recession in 2017.

My bones tell me 2016 or 2017. But what do my bones know?


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[sengsational]

I don't quite get the double digit thing in the poll. 2044 * 1.1 = 2248 (versus 2208). I guess that it would only need to hit 2208 to be a 10% increase because dividend yield must be added, and that would equate to another 40 points?

I'll go out on a limb and predict 2560 (plus dividend yield). That's about 27%. 2016 will be a year with 'the next big thing'. Big things are lumpy, but do happen. Cold fusion, carbon nano tube energy storage, rampant inflation, 3D cat videos, it's impossible to tell.

 

[W2R]

I'll play! Or perhaps "guess" is a better word for it.

It's been a long time since we've had a good, solid crash with any significant impact, so why not now? I'll say 1650.