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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
Old 01-01-2007, 06:41 AM   #41
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by Nords
I was wondering if I was being a little too subtle...

... am I the only one who still remembers the punchline to that joke?
No, I got it.
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
Old 01-01-2007, 08:37 AM   #42
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007

Ok, here is an updated summary (after removing Nords' fake prediction):

Number of predictions: 23
Highest prediction: +15% (mmg2681)
Lowest prediction: -29% (Running Man)
Average: +4.70%

It seems that as a group, we are a bit more pessimistic than Dr. Siegel:

http://finance.yahoo.com/columnist/a...reinvest/18829

"Markets here and overseas are still reasonably valued and corporate earnings should continue to move upward. Hence I believe 2007 will be another good year for stocks, although returns will not be as high as 2006. U.S. stocks should return about 8%, with foreign stocks doing perhaps a little better."
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
Old 01-02-2007, 07:18 AM   #43
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007

What I like to see is the predictions made previously by the
so called experts.
Because even a broken clock is correct twice a day.
Tom
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
Old 01-02-2007, 07:54 AM   #44
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007

+4.7%
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
Old 01-02-2007, 10:54 AM   #45
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007

Quote:
Originally Posted by teejayevans
What I like to see is the predictions made previously by the
so called experts. Because even a broken clock is correct twice a day.
Tom
Hey predictions are easy. It is forecasting the future that is hard
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
Old 01-02-2007, 11:01 AM   #46
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007

+7.5%

2soon
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
Old 01-03-2007, 11:30 AM   #47
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007

+6.3%
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
Old 01-03-2007, 11:40 AM   #48
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007


I predict another up year.

"Prediction is very hard, especially about the future." -Yogi Berra
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
Old 01-03-2007, 12:06 PM   #49
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007

+10.7%

2Cor521
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
Old 01-03-2007, 04:44 PM   #50
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007

+7.5%
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
Old 01-03-2007, 06:07 PM   #51
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007

16.5%

But the big winner will be the Iraq stock exchange up 37%... LOL
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007
Old 01-09-2007, 03:01 AM   #52
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Re: Predictions for U.S. stock market in 2007

12%+ dow
17% + naz

why>>>> i have no idea. positive thinking!

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Old 07-01-2007, 01:11 PM   #53
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Here is a halftime report: VTSAX is up 7.51% as of June 30.
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Old 07-01-2007, 02:49 PM   #54
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10.8%
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Old 07-01-2007, 04:06 PM   #55
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+6.25% On first $500K.

Oh scratch that did not see that was for the Stock Market.
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Old 07-01-2007, 06:27 PM   #56
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±2 σ
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Old 12-21-2007, 04:51 PM   #57
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With one week to go, VTSAX is up 4.97% YTD. The average prediction was 5.59%, so this group was pretty close.

Three people predicted exactly 5%, and as of right now, they would tie for the best prediction:

DOG52
Audrey
CorporateBurnout
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Old 12-31-2007, 05:09 PM   #58
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For all of 2007, the Dow gained 6.4% and the S&P 500 rose 3.5%, both hampered by a weak fourth-quarter performance. The Nasdaq was the best performer, climbing 9.8%.

It looks like VTSAX is up 5.49% YTD for 12/31/07
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Old 12-31-2007, 05:16 PM   #59
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Updated Bogleheads 2007 contest here...
Boglehead Contest 2007
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Old 12-31-2007, 06:40 PM   #60
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And the winners are....

Sandy
ExCFOnowRVer

They both predicted 5.50%, and the actual return of VTSAX was 5.57%.

This group was amazing. The average prediction was 5.59%.
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