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Most of know what the equity and bond markets have averaged over the last 100 years. We also know about the highs and lows of inflation in the past* FireCalc is a great tool using data from the past to guide us.
Fairly recently we have seen real estate go sky high and gold taking off beyond what most ever expected. Stocks crashed, many stocks have come back.
Knowing what we know and including other external factors some discussed here such as the Federal deficeit, the war in Iraq, unfriendly CEO's, political differences, medical costs gone wild, interest rates on the rise, etc etc etc.
What real return do you expect with you allocation? What % above inflation do you expect to gain with all your assets, or what % below inflation do you expect. (lets say over the next 20 years).
Gotta use your own estimate of inflation.
I wonder if it will be what it was.
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