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Old 06-01-2012, 10:13 PM   #61
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Posts: 4,844
Originally Posted by borschelrh View Post

Anyway, I will not post any more on this website as clearly it isn't appreciated. Go your own way and make your own decisions which is the best any of us can do. I am only presenting what worked for us. I will be blogging now as the Expat with an Attitude. I won't link to it as I doubt that is allowed. I sincerely wish the best of luck to all of you and that you enjoy your retirement as well as we do.
I hope you continue to post.........but maybe at a little less length and with a little more humility, you may live in Europe, but you write like an American, and I don't mean Longfellow or Hemingway.

As a European I can agree with your choice of place to live...although Hungary is having some issues with governance right now. Given your ample guaranteed pension income I can see how Day Trading might be attractive, but for most of us who have to derive boring income from our nest eggs it would be folly to expose our portfolios to so much risk. That, along with the puffery of your posts, is the reason for the push back you are feeling.

“So we beat on, boats against the current, borne back ceaselessly into the past.”

Current AA: 75% Equity Funds / 15% Bonds / 5% Stable Value /2% Cash / 3% TIAA Traditional
Retired Mar 2014 at age 52, target WR: 0.0%,
Income from pension and rent
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Old 06-02-2012, 07:03 AM   #62
Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 441
US stock 6%, Int'l stock 7%, US reit 2%, US bonds 0% = about 4% average real from a mixed portfolio assuming current earnings yields and 2% inflation.

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Old 06-02-2012, 11:54 AM   #63
Dryer sheet wannabe
Join Date: May 2010
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Originally Posted by borschelrh View Post

I am a bit luckier than most as my DW has a PhD in Geophysics and I have a PhD in Immunology. She is in fact a mathematician and my expertise runs towards analyzing non-parametric statistics with a particular emphasis on time series analysis which as it happens is applicable directly to the stock market.
Can you talk more about the non-parametric time series techniques you've toyed with? Also, what software do you use for your analysis?

I'm looking to get into different optimization techniques, but don't have a good starting point other than standard kalman filtering / markov process modeling taught at the undergrad level.

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