My problem is that I worry about inflation risk as much as market risk. I've been FIRE'd for almost a decade. I have many friends in the same situation since Mega laid us all off at about the same time.
Of the 3 guys who are struggling, none are struggling because of market performance. Despite the Great Recession, all have portfolios that have done OK vs their beginning values ten years ago. But all 3 say that their budgets have had to be increased by about one-third and that is killing them.
I'd hate to start an SPIA too early and have it fail to provide a satisfactory floor spending level (along with SS) because of even moderate inflation.
I am beginning to think more and more along the lines that in investing, there is no one right answer for everyone. Your story shows why this is true. And this is what can make the topic of investing quite confusing, with so many opinions, so many options, etc., IMO.
One of my (many) projects last year after retiring was investigating the appropriateness of annuities for my personal PF (versus that of anyone/everyone else). I looked deeply into QLAC's due to the recent change in their tax treatment. What I found (to my surprise) was that I had inadvertently engaged in a sort of LMP by delaying SS while having other assets, and also having ample funds to cover the decade between 60-70. Thus, for my situation an annuity, even a QLAC,
at this time isn't optimal. It may be later, if circumstances change
There are too many publications stating delaying SS is the best annuity due to the calculations involved. Too many other publications point out that for people who haven't saved enough, annuities may be their
only way of having a sustainable retirement. There are many other opinions that delaying/laddering annuities is best done after 70, or 75, or 80. And no, annuities are not investments, they're insurance. Other people can't cough up the commissions involved.
There are many on this board who purchased annuities before, upon, or after retirement who are satisfied with them. Research has shown a correlation between having sources of fixed income (pensions, annuities, etc.) and retirement happiness. Still, an annuity
may not be right in your situation. You have to take the time, look at your own asset make-up, your own investing temperament, attitude towards risk (the stock market is risky. period.), evaluation of the extent to which you think you're the smartest investing guy/gal in the room (seriously!), comfort with paying commissions, fees., etc., estimation of your longevity, legacy desires, current and future estimated health status, and come to some kind of decision.
In my case, chances are good that I have
over saved; thus, I have more options.