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Old 12-30-2014, 08:39 AM   #41
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We do a more challenging forecast because we are Canadians:
I assume the oil and gold price forecasts are in Canadian $?
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Old 12-30-2014, 08:06 PM   #42
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Old 12-30-2014, 08:39 PM   #43
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Amazingly we cannot find the poll for 2014.
We have short collective memory.

I do not know how to play this game of calling the market down to 4 or 5 digits.

It's hard enough just to predict the direction of the market; up, down, or sideways. I define sideways as being within +-5%, and up and down are defined as above or below that band.

Having said that, I think the market will be sideways.
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Old 12-31-2014, 07:50 AM   #44
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Old 12-31-2014, 08:08 AM   #45
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Old 12-31-2014, 08:36 AM   #46
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Old 12-31-2014, 08:53 AM   #47
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Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1 View Post
I assume the oil and gold price forecasts are in Canadian $?
No all predictions are in USD. The TSX is an index even though it inherently reflects C$.
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Old 12-31-2014, 09:24 AM   #48
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Old 12-31-2014, 09:45 AM   #49
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No all predictions are in USD. The TSX is an index even though it inherently reflects C$.
Wow - well they are quite optimistic on the oil prices, IMO.
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Old 12-31-2014, 01:23 PM   #50
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I'm anxious to see Coach's prediction for 2015 since he nailed his Dow prediction for 2013.

In the meantime....

Dow. 21,000
S&P. 2,300


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Old 12-31-2014, 01:40 PM   #51
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Wild ass guess, throwing darts, etc.
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Old 01-01-2015, 07:47 AM   #52
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Old 01-01-2015, 10:13 AM   #53
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I'll play

DOW 18,700
NASDAQ 4,850
S&P 500 2,150
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Old 01-01-2015, 11:05 AM   #54
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Dow will finish at 18714
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Old 01-01-2015, 12:08 PM   #55
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Old 01-01-2015, 12:19 PM   #56
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Hmmm.....I think this coming year will be the one that tests my ER resolve (ER'd in Aug.). I'll jump in and guess:


19,600 DOW
2,110 S&P
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Old 01-01-2015, 01:39 PM   #57
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Everything looks pretty rosy. I'm going with 16500 and 1800.
+1

I'll go with 16501 and 1801. Lol. Oh wait, Price is Right rules not in effect!
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Old 01-01-2015, 02:07 PM   #58
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My guesses:

Dow: 19,700
S&P: 2,300
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Old 01-01-2015, 02:40 PM   #59
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Definitely bought some XOM today...when seven analysts say BUY, I buy...lol. I did enjoy our cheap gas prices, now its time to reinvest those dividends.

Still trying to figure out where to put the other cash stash.

DJI 19,500 S&P 2250.

Unless we have a strong first quarter and GDP sustains with low jobs numbers, then I will be back to revise my estimate higher provided there are no global catastrophes, bad weather, and just about anything else you could think of.
I think I want to revise my estimate already, based on some new knowledge. Politics aside (which is impossible as politics do affect markets). in years where there is a Dem Pres and Rep Senate, avg returns have been 21.3% (years 1961 to 2010).

With that in mind, I am going to already revise my estimate up on the S&P500: 2497.4 when the bell rings Dec 31, 2015.

Let's hope I win !

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Old 01-01-2015, 03:24 PM   #60
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Dow....20150
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After all it is 2015!
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