Ed_The_Gypsy
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
The-Risk-of-Ruin-for-Retirees: Personal Finance News from Yahoo! Finance
Andy Mayo, Investopedia.com Sunday, June 1, 2008. Sponsored by Fidelity (Shame!)
He starts out talking about a 4% withdrawal rate and how that it is dangerous. He proceeds to build a scenario with a 10% withdrawal rate and 4% inflation (I guess "4%" had to come from somewhere) from 1987 to 2003, backwards and forwards and uses it to show that early low returns are dangerous (duh!), but when I ran the same numbers at 4% withdrawal and 4% inflation, neither scenario went bust. Starting with $100,000, he would actually wind up with $346,130 in 2003 or $322,761, depending on whether one went forwards or backwards.
He talks about a 13.47% "average annual return". (True, that is the arithmetic average...which is entirely useless. I guess he can't calculate the geometric average, 12.04%.)
More financial pornography from the media. Shame on Fidelity for sponsoring such misleading drivel.
Blah!
Andy Mayo, Investopedia.com Sunday, June 1, 2008. Sponsored by Fidelity (Shame!)
He starts out talking about a 4% withdrawal rate and how that it is dangerous. He proceeds to build a scenario with a 10% withdrawal rate and 4% inflation (I guess "4%" had to come from somewhere) from 1987 to 2003, backwards and forwards and uses it to show that early low returns are dangerous (duh!), but when I ran the same numbers at 4% withdrawal and 4% inflation, neither scenario went bust. Starting with $100,000, he would actually wind up with $346,130 in 2003 or $322,761, depending on whether one went forwards or backwards.
He talks about a 13.47% "average annual return". (True, that is the arithmetic average...which is entirely useless. I guess he can't calculate the geometric average, 12.04%.)
More financial pornography from the media. Shame on Fidelity for sponsoring such misleading drivel.
Blah!
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