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01-05-2020, 10:02 AM
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#41
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 388
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58/42
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FIRE'd---4/27/2018 @ 54. DW--RE date 03/01/19.
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01-05-2020, 10:27 AM
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#42
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: Castro Valley
Posts: 788
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40/40/20
Age 62, no pension, just started SS.
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01-05-2020, 10:38 AM
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#43
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2013
Posts: 1,019
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The "right" answer can vary a lot, depending upon (among other things) the extent to which one's pension and SS will cover expenses. If they cover all or nearly all expenses, asset allocation isn't nearly as important as it is for someone will require a high withdrawal rate to meet expenses
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01-05-2020, 11:38 AM
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#44
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Dryer sheet aficionado
Join Date: Apr 2013
Location: Pittsburgh
Posts: 31
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70/20/10 with the 10 equal to 3-4 years of expenses... ER'd 4 years ago, another 4 years before I plan to take SS.
And the more posts I read on this thread, the more I worry that 70% in equities is too high. Ulp...
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01-05-2020, 03:29 PM
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#45
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 162
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30/69/1. Missing potential equity returns that wouldn't significantly make my life better is fine with me. Missing or delaying a fun, active life waiting for a stock market recovery is not.
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01-05-2020, 03:57 PM
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#46
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Apr 2011
Location: Conroe, Texas
Posts: 18,731
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Quote:
Originally Posted by enjoyinglife102
30/69/1. Missing potential equity returns that wouldn't significantly make my life better is fine with me. Missing or delaying a fun, active life waiting for a stock market recovery is not.
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That's about where I am but with more cash and CD's than bonds. But I am going on 77 with a disabled DW. No debt, no pension, but a good amount of SS. SS covers about 2/3 of annual spending.
__________________
*********Go Yankees!*********
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01-05-2020, 04:24 PM
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#47
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 1,671
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We started retirement 12 years ago at 40/60 facing 10 years with no pension and no SS. I have never paid CG tax since I harvested massive losses in 2008-09. Those are gone and my pension and SS have started. So I plan to not re-balance on the upside until I get to at least 70/30.
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01-05-2020, 04:37 PM
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#48
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Kansas City
Posts: 7,968
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Up to ER pretty much 60/40. Early ER, 1993 to 2006 still pretty much 60/40. After age 62 (2006) went close to full auto Target Retirement. Let The computers re balance. Ballpark at age 76 going on 77 about 40/60.
heh heh heh - thoughts of buying 'a few good stocks' with excess RMD money but I haven't picked winners in the playoffs/wildcard rounds yet so my confidence level is down. Sooo - ? maybe index on and 'blow that dough' while above ground.
P.S. Non - cola 11k pension at 55 (1998) and SS at 62 (2006).
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01-05-2020, 05:10 PM
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#49
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2015
Posts: 1,166
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Quote:
Originally Posted by aja8888
That's about where I am but with more cash and CD's than bonds. But I am going on 77 with a disabled DW. No debt, no pension, but a good amount of SS. SS covers about 2/3 of annual spending.
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Same here, also - but significantly younger @ mid 50s.
I also am more than happy to trade potentially higher equity returns that I don't "need" to be able to sleep better at night. But to determine that, I had to project out income and expense year by year through age 95, also (with a good buffer)..that's the only way IMHO to determine what one truly "needs"..and of course, any assumptions can and will go out the window at any time, so contingencies are also important.
Was very confident in the "high cash (CDs)" approach a year and a half ago when CD rates were higher, but with rates dropping and bond funds likely under pressure going forward due to the current very low yield environment, it does make it a bit tougher for sure. That said, I don't have a lot of confidence in equities over the next 10 years or so, either, given the extremely high stock valuations (eg: CAPE 10, forward P/E, etc). So there's very few good options at this point, and it's pretty much a "pick your poison" time..maybe increasing international equities or dividend-paying Value stocks over the next few years is a good option..hmmm..
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01-05-2020, 07:53 PM
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#50
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: Virginia
Posts: 110
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50/25/25 and plan to ER in 2 years. Bought my first bonds last year from equities and plan to stay in this range for the foreseeable future unless there is a significant market drop and then I will up the equities moderately.
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01-05-2020, 09:41 PM
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#51
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Jun 2018
Location: Santa Clara County
Posts: 151
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40/45/15 with pensions that meet 85% of budgeted expenses. FIRE’d last year at 54, using cash to pay for annual Roth conversions before taking SS at 62. Rest of cash to be used as dry powder for any bear or pull back that may come along. I sleep well.
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01-05-2020, 09:51 PM
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#52
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: The 850
Posts: 980
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CountryBoy
70/20/10 with the 10 equal to 3-4 years of expenses... ER'd 4 years ago, another 4 years before I plan to take SS.
And the more posts I read on this thread, the more I worry that 70% in equities is too high. Ulp...
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I'm with you-70/30, up from 60/40 a few years ago. Long time to play, heirs are young. Now five years in, pushing 60. Glad to be in this position
__________________
Stay at home slacker dad 2015-August 2024. With the last kid gone, now actually retired
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01-06-2020, 07:51 AM
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#53
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 1,639
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45/55. Down from 60/40 at start of 2019. Plan on leaving at this level going forward.
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01-06-2020, 09:07 AM
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#54
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2013
Location: North
Posts: 4,043
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jebmke
We started retirement 12 years ago at 40/60 facing 10 years with no pension and no SS. I have never paid CG tax since I harvested massive losses in 2008-09. Those are gone and my pension and SS have started. So I plan to not re-balance on the upside until I get to at least 70/30.
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A stark reminder that the timespan of an ER...spans multiple down and up cycles. Always want to have the appropriate flexibility for each cycle...buying low on a dip of +10 or +20 is always a good idea!
__________________
Time > $$$ ~ 100% equities ~ FIRE @2031
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01-06-2020, 11:48 AM
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#55
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,691
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Technically I’m not sure, I’ve been told high yield bonds should be treated as stocks, not bonds.
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01-06-2020, 11:49 AM
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#56
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Full time employment: Posting here.
Join Date: Aug 2015
Posts: 987
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I like this thread. Such varied responses!
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01-06-2020, 11:57 AM
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#57
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: Chicago West Burbs
Posts: 3,018
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No pension here. All were rolled over into IRA's years back. DW now collecting SS and I am collecting spousal. Will for a few more years before collecting on my record. We do not rebalance. It is what it is. I do have a small (very small) annuitized LI policy at ~ $2800/ yr.
79/16/5
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01-06-2020, 12:21 PM
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#58
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Apr 2016
Location: Ex-Cali
Posts: 1,245
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No pension
Approximate allocations:
50% real estate (90% of that being investment and 10% being personal residence)
40% stocks (broad based - nothing too aggressive)
10% cash/misc. (CD's, emergency fund, small amount of gold, etc...)
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______________________
The plan was September 1, 2022 and I am 95% there. Still working a few hours a week at the real job.
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01-06-2020, 02:30 PM
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#59
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 35,712
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With conventional wisdom, you would think that if one has pension he can go high stock AA because he can withstand the market vagaries, and high stock AA gives you a better return over a long time.
But is that really true? Yes, 100% stock AA would get you beaucoup money if you throw it all in the ring in the last 10 years, but if you look out over 20 years or more, a balanced fund like Wellington with 60% stock can hold up very well against 100% stock. That's because Wellington does not crash hard like a 100% stock portfolio. It's the race of the tortoise and the hare.
And so, even though my WR is sufficiently low before I even draw SS, I do not care to go high stock AA. I am not afraid of volatility, but still want a higher return. However, a high-stock AA does not guarantee a high return.
__________________
"Old age is the most unexpected of all things that happen to a man" -- Leon Trotsky (1879-1940)
"Those Who Can Make You Believe Absurdities Can Make You Commit Atrocities" - Voltaire (1694-1778)
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01-06-2020, 02:43 PM
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#60
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Dec 2017
Posts: 2,555
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85/8/7 at FIRE minus a few months.
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Balance in everything.
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