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Where do you stand in retirement savings?
12-30-2009, 06:07 PM
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#1
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Tampa/St Petersburg, FLA
Posts: 314
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Where do you stand in retirement savings?
http://spwfe.fpanet.org:10005/public...ncial%20He.pdf
Interesting article concerning determining your Personal Finance Ratio - and calculating whether you're financially on track for retirement.
Realistic?
Author just published a new book that was just released this week with more information on the subject.
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12-30-2009, 08:31 PM
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#2
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Boise
Posts: 7,863
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Not for me.
I stopped reading when I got to "The primary objective of the ratio is to help the person reach age 65 with no debt and savings worth 12 times their salary."
Personally I'm aiming for savings of 25 x expenses at age 45.
2Cor521
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"At times the world can seem an unfriendly and sinister place, but believe us when we say there is much more good in it than bad. All you have to do is look hard enough, and what might seem to be a series of unfortunate events, may in fact be the first steps of a journey." Violet Baudelaire.
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12-30-2009, 08:48 PM
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#3
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
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I seriously didn't like this article or concept. It is a dress up of the whole need 80% of pre-retirement income stuff.
While I agree about not having debt there are plenty of people who argue in favor of a mortgage during retirement which this concept doesn't allow for. I'm not enthused with the idea myself but I understand the point of view.
It does account for employer matching 401k contributions but I didn't see anything to account for someone like my DH who has a choice of either a generous pension or a large lump sum. This doesn't seem to say whether we can count the lump sum the same as savings.
Regardless the 12 times earnings is a ridiculous amount of money for many people particularly if you had a high income.
He does use a 5% withdrawal rate although he does at least explain why he does that. He seems to feel that planning for a 4% rate is too hard, but he doesn't seem to really question his assumptions as to the huge amount of savings that he advocates.
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12-30-2009, 09:39 PM
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#4
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 5,340
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SecondCor521
Personally I'm aiming for savings of 25 x expenses at age 45.
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Same here although I may w*rk until age 49 even if I reach the goal at 45.
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12-30-2009, 10:06 PM
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#5
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Moderator Emeritus
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: New Orleans
Posts: 47,468
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I think the author lives in an alternate universe. There are so many things wrong with his plan (from my point of view) that I won't even start on a critique.
Maybe he feels that giving his clients this sort of plan justifies the high fees that he probably charges them.
If the plan works for somebody, then great!! But if your progress in life doesn't fit within his idea of where you should be, I wouldn't sweat it.
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Already we are boldly launched upon the deep; but soon we shall be lost in its unshored, harbourless immensities. - - H. Melville, 1851.
Happily retired since 2009, at age 61. Best years of my life by far!
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12-30-2009, 10:46 PM
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#6
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Nov 2009
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SecondCor521
Not for me.
I stopped reading when I got to "The primary objective of the ratio is to help the person reach age 65 with no debt and savings worth 12 times their salary."
Personally I'm aiming for savings of 25 x expenses at age 45.
2Cor521
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Ratios relative to (wage) income don't mean much to me. I w*rked full-time until 2001 when I switched to part-time (about 53% of previous gross pay). Then, in 2007, I switched to even fewer hours, about 32% of my original gross pay in terms of hours per week w*rked. So, what income level do I compare to?
When I retired last year at age 45, my total savings (before taxes were paid on a lump-sum payout, but also before the stock and bond markets had recovered) were about 30 times expenses but have since risen to 45 times expenses.
And I am still adding to my savings even in retirement, as my invesment income (excluding my IRA) exceeds my expenses.
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12-30-2009, 10:47 PM
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#7
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Nov 2009
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Quote:
Originally Posted by W2R
Maybe he feels that giving his clients this sort of plan justifies the high fees that he probably charges them.
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That's a good one!
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12-30-2009, 11:23 PM
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#8
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: North of Montana
Posts: 2,768
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I stopped reading believing anything in the article when I saw the fifth line. it was:
Executive Summary
Why would I, as an "executive" give a rat's petuti about his summary? Or was I to believe his tale was great because he was an "executive"?
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There are two kinds of people in the world: those who can extrapolate conclusions from insufficient data and ..
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12-31-2009, 07:14 AM
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#9
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Tampa/St Petersburg, FLA
Posts: 314
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SecondCor521
Not for me.
I stopped reading when I got to "The primary objective of the ratio is to help the person reach age 65 with no debt and savings worth 12 times their salary."
Personally I'm aiming for savings of 25 x expenses at age 45.
2Cor521
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His book discusses modifications for those retiring early and those who are fortunate enough to retire with a pension.
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12-31-2009, 08:39 AM
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#10
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
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Posts: 7,746
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Seems like it is a sensible approach to have quantitative metrics for the typical saver/retiree. From talking to my FP friends, the new client coming in off the street (or an established client, for that matter) doesn't really spend much time thinking about wealth accumulation, savings, etc. Hence the reason they are paying a FP to think about this stuff for them.
So now an FP can point to the chart and say "this is where you are, this is where you should be based on these assumptions". Assuming the assumptions are close enough to what the client wants to achieve, then it is a valid rule of thumb. Assumptions are different? Rejigger the benchmarks.
My savings to income and savings rate to income ratios are way higher than the article says I would need at my age to be able to retire at 65. My debt is actually a bit higher than their 1.7 debt to income ratio, but that's ok since I don't mind the leverage. In my situation, it makes sense that I'm way ahead of the curve since I don't plan on sticking it out to any where near age 65.
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Retired in 2013 at age 33. Keeping busy reading, blogging, relaxing, gaming, and enjoying the outdoors with my wife and 3 kids (8, 13, and 15).
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12-31-2009, 08:59 AM
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#11
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 4,391
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I don't have a problem with the benchmarks.
The concept(s) of age-based benchmarks are helpful for anyone.
For those of you that have chosen lower income replacement ratio rates than the author - you can make your own benchmarks adjusted downward to reflect your ultimate spending income goal.
Keep in mind that many family incomes are significantly less than many (perhaps most) posters on this forum. For many families with modest incomes an income replacement rate at 80 percent (as the author suggests) would suit them well. The 12X salary goal would only produce ~48 percent of the pre-retirement income. Social Security would make up the balance. Lower income replacement rates (than 80 percent) for lower income families would be more of a hardship than for many on this forum. In the absense of other information the goal, and the benchmarks are worthy.
Also for what it's worth, These exact benchmarks have been discussed before.
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12-31-2009, 03:10 PM
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#13
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Recycles dryer sheets
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 281
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I wish there were more books based on the lifestyle of the Millionaire Next Door. Like a retirement book for people already saving much more than average, paying cash for reliable cars, etc.
I guess there wouldn't be much of a market and the minority of people who would benefit from it would just check it out at the library anyway.
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12-31-2009, 03:33 PM
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#14
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
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Location: NC
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I have had some very good reads from FPA Journal, this was not one of them...
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12-31-2009, 04:06 PM
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#15
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Yes. It would be like bringing out a line of make-up for nuns.
Ha
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12-31-2009, 05:36 PM
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#16
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
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Location: Boise
Posts: 7,863
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kumquat
I stopped reading believing anything in the article when I saw the fifth line. it was:
Executive Summary
Why would I, as an "executive" give a rat's petuti about his summary? Or was I to believe his tale was great because he was an "executive"?
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That's just MBA-speak for "key points", "summary", "introduction", etc. The reason for the terminology, I think, is that they're for the "busy executive" who probably doesn't have time to read all the gory details and may just want the key points.
2Cor521
__________________
"At times the world can seem an unfriendly and sinister place, but believe us when we say there is much more good in it than bad. All you have to do is look hard enough, and what might seem to be a series of unfortunate events, may in fact be the first steps of a journey." Violet Baudelaire.
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01-01-2010, 10:29 AM
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#17
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
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Don't be so hard on the guy. First, consider where he is posting this article. He is writing for other professionals in his line of work.
He is trying to get his clients to look at their lives as a business and to take their situation seriously. I wish I had had the presence of mind to do so much earlier in my life.
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I have outlived most of the people I don't like and I am working on the rest.
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01-01-2010, 03:52 PM
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#18
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Nov 2009
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SecondCor521
That's just MBA-speak for "key points", "summary", "introduction", etc. The reason for the terminology, I think, is that they're for the "busy executive" who probably doesn't have time to read all the gory details and may just want the key points.
2Cor521
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Very true. When I was working for a trade group representing small and meduim-sized P/C insurance companies, the large documents we filed with state insurance departments on behalf of our members companies always contained a small, introductory "Executive Summary" which included the bottom line of what we were filing along with other vital information. It was about 10 pages and was followed the supporting material of 100-120 pages. I don't know who made up the term, as those who read the document were not usually executives by any stretch.
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