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Old 10-31-2009, 04:29 PM   #101
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I put up a sticky note to rebalance a little next week from bonds to stocks. Too late? Who me, thinking about market timing.
I've been re-balancing from stocks to bonds all through the market rally. I just looked at my balance and the hit was not so bad. Personally I think the market will continue to go up, however, I have decided to change my asset allocation due to a change in my risk tolerance. "Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice"...well you know how it goes.
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Old 10-31-2009, 04:44 PM   #102
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I've been re-balancing from stocks to bonds all through the market rally. I just looked at my balance and the hit was not so bad. Personally I think the market will continue to go up, however, I have decided to change my asset allocation due to a change in my risk tolerance. "Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice"...well you know how it goes.
Me too. I finally found my comfort level to be around 50/50. Probably a bit conservative for some, but that's just me
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Old 10-31-2009, 04:48 PM   #103
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Any betting on further advances is at base speculative betting on government interventions. Robert Shiller was interviewd about 10 days ago; according to his metric the S&P is 30% overvalued right now.

It can certainly go way up from here, after all according to Shiller's figures the S&P was over 100% overvalued at the 2000 peak. But it's like Napolean's advance into Russia. Couldn't know how far it would go, but it was a pretty good bet that it would fail sooner or later.

Ha
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Old 10-31-2009, 04:50 PM   #104
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But it's like Napolean's advance into Russia. Couldn't know how far it would go, but it was a pretty good bet that it would fail sooner or later.
True of all of us.
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Old 10-31-2009, 05:04 PM   #105
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Yes, occasionally I wonder, why don't I just do a mix of Wellesley/Wellington and be done? I have another 14 funds as part of my AA (a little of this, a little of that) But what the hell do I really gain by that?
Nothing.
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Old 10-31-2009, 05:25 PM   #106
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I went the other way to create my own personal MF. I want to make my own sausage.
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