Early Retirement Forums

Go Back   Early Retirement Forums > General > FIRE and Money





Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
Old 10-08-2008, 10:00 AM   #1
audreyh1
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 2,203
Yikes! S&P 500 goes under 1000!

Never thought I'd see that again!

This is all so parabolic (happening so fast) that I'm hoping for a V bottom - knock on wood!

Audrey

P.S. Couldn't resist after the DOW 10,000 thread a couple days ago. Should have started this thread yesterday, but the S&P 500 just crossed that line in the last few minutes of trading.
audreyh1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-08-2008, 12:25 PM   #2
audreyh1
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 2,203
What? No comments? Is it just too depressing?

Just talking amongst myself here....

Audrey
audreyh1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-08-2008, 12:29 PM   #3
ziggy29
Moderator
 
ziggy29's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Texas Hill Country
Posts: 2,391
Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1 View Post
What? No comments? Is it just too depressing?
Yes. Next milestone is the Russell 2000 under 500, I guess. And then the Naz under 1000?
__________________
FIRE Clock: Retired. Since it feels like I'll never be now.

waiting for the government to privatize the gains and socialize my losses in my 401K...
ziggy29 is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 10-08-2008, 12:31 PM   #4
calmloki
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
calmloki's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Independence
Posts: 1,419
Catch a falling knife and put it in my pocket, save it for a rainy day. Bought some more Bank of America nice and early this morning. Sheesh. then watched the DOW go under 9400. How loooow can we go!
calmloki is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-08-2008, 12:33 PM   #5
audreyh1
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 2,203
I guess I'm just looking for the Oct 2002 lows. I don't think the Nasdaq quite made it down to 1000. If the 2002 lows happen again (ouch!), I plan to fire my final bullets (final rebalance). Lets see if I'm brave enough to do it! I don't really want to see us get there though!

But this is all so crazy. Equity markets are now at the lows of the 1998 global financial crisis, and that was a year before I retired 9 years ago!

Audrey
audreyh1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-09-2008, 03:08 PM   #6
ziggy29
Moderator
 
ziggy29's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Texas Hill Country
Posts: 2,391
Quote:
Originally Posted by ziggy29 View Post
Yes. Next milestone is the Russell 2000 under 500, I guess. And then the Naz under 1000?
Russell 2000 at 499 -- check.

Next stop, Nasdaq 1000...
__________________
FIRE Clock: Retired. Since it feels like I'll never be now.

waiting for the government to privatize the gains and socialize my losses in my 401K...
ziggy29 is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 10-09-2008, 03:12 PM   #7
Marquette
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 2,020
Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1 View Post
Never thought I'd see that again!
Think it'll break 900?
Marquette is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-09-2008, 03:13 PM   #8
audreyh1
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 2,203
S&P 500 sliced through 950 (a major support level going back a decade) like a hot knife through butter. Closed below 910 today. I guess it's trying to get to 800 (the 2002 low).

Audrey
audreyh1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-09-2008, 03:22 PM   #9
cute fuzzy bunny
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
 
cute fuzzy bunny's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Losing my whump
Posts: 22,527
Good. I've always wished I'd bought more in 2002 when it was 800.

Who says life isnt full of second chances?
__________________

Many an optimist has become rich by buying out a pessimist
cute fuzzy bunny is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-09-2008, 03:27 PM   #10
dex
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
dex's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2003
Posts: 3,048
Quote:
Originally Posted by audreyh1 View Post
I guess I'm just looking for the Oct 2002 lows. I don't think the Nasdaq quite made it down to 1000. If the 2002 lows happen again (ouch!), I plan to fire my final bullets (final rebalance). Lets see if I'm brave enough to do it! I don't really want to see us get there though!

But this is all so crazy. Equity markets are now at the lows of the 1998 global financial crisis, and that was a year before I retired 9 years ago!

Audrey
I'm with you. Not on the rebalancing. I have some cash available to invest. I'm thinking high yield bonds, small cap, Wellesly and maybe foreign stocks.

I think there are some unknown (at this time) investing strategy unwinding at this time - hedge funds
__________________
Sometimes death is not as tragic as not knowing how to live. This man knew how to live--and how to make others glad they were living. - Jack Benny at Nat King Cole's funeral
dex is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-09-2008, 03:29 PM   #11
ziggy29
Moderator
 
ziggy29's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Texas Hill Country
Posts: 2,391
Quote:
Originally Posted by dex View Post
I think there are some unknown (at this time) investing strategy unwinding at this time - hedge funds
I think hedgies and other major institutions are desperately trying to deleverage. And until they are done, it's more of the same...
__________________
FIRE Clock: Retired. Since it feels like I'll never be now.

waiting for the government to privatize the gains and socialize my losses in my 401K...
ziggy29 is online now   Reply With Quote
Old 10-09-2008, 03:32 PM   #12
Lusitan
Recycles dryer sheets
 
Lusitan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 353
Quote:
Originally Posted by cute fuzzy bunny View Post
Good. I've always wished I'd bought more in 2002 when it was 800.

This market would be much more depressing without you guys.
Lusitan is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-09-2008, 03:40 PM   #13
audreyh1
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 2,203
Yes, I've pretty much psychologically prepared myself at the end of last month for there to be very heavy selling in Q4 2008 due to hedge fund redemptions. I also thought it might be frontloaded to occur mostly in October.

Still - the viciousness has been incredible! I never imagined seeing the VIX hit 65! Or to have a week like this!

Audrey
audreyh1 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-09-2008, 03:40 PM   #14
cute fuzzy bunny
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
 
cute fuzzy bunny's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Losing my whump
Posts: 22,527
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lusitan View Post
This market would be much more depressing without you guys.
Hey, whats the big deal.

If you have a good plan, theres nothing to worry about. If you didnt have a good plan, at least you'll know now what to do differently after things sort themselves out.

Despite all the hoo hah going on, and people in the financial business losing their shirts...most US companies arent financials and many are doing okay. Once the economy gets going again so will everything else.

My plan is fine. We're down six figures big. My wife is still working part time bringing in a few bucks and covering our health care with no chance of losing the job. We have a years expenses in cash. We have 3 years expenses in 6.25% cd's. Our funds will keep paying out dividends that are also enough to live on comfortably. No mortgage or other debt to worry about.

This too shall pass. My only regret is that I dont have a bunch of cash to bring to bear on this fire sale.
__________________

Many an optimist has become rich by buying out a pessimist
cute fuzzy bunny is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-09-2008, 03:44 PM   #15
73ss454
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 1,758
Thanks CFB, I needed that. Now I hope you're right.
73ss454 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-09-2008, 03:45 PM   #16
Moemg
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
Moemg's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Sarasota,fl.
Posts: 3,091
The painful thing is watching that much money just evaporate . I could have bought an island condo somewhere with a hot pool boy !
Moemg is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-09-2008, 04:01 PM   #17
cute fuzzy bunny
Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso)
Give me a forum ...
 
cute fuzzy bunny's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Losing my whump
Posts: 22,527
Hey, you still can. The island may just move around a little from time to time after a storm, and the pool boy will be 95.
__________________

Many an optimist has become rich by buying out a pessimist
cute fuzzy bunny is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-09-2008, 04:11 PM   #18
Achiever51
Full time employment: Posting here.
 
Achiever51's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Southeastern Michigan
Posts: 786
Quote:
Originally Posted by 73ss454 View Post
Thanks CFB, I needed that. Now I hope you're right.
Thanks from me, too! My portfolio is also down by six figures plus. I recently rebalanced my holdings and believe that I'm in the right investments for the long run. FIRECalc tells me that I'm still ok. I have to keep reminding myself that these terrible declines are all on paper only as I'm not drawing from my portfolio at all and don't expect to do so for at least three years out. I have a non-COLAd pension that covers about 60% of our expenses and DH's business income covers the rest. We do have enough cash/CDs/savings bonds set aside that could cover two years' expenses if the bottom fell out of everything....

But still, despite the fact that I am generally a very optimistic person, this week has my stomach churning.

I know that this too will pass, but still.......
__________________
The best things in life....are not things.
Achiever51 is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-09-2008, 04:18 PM   #19
calmloki
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
calmloki's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Independence
Posts: 1,419
Quote:
Originally Posted by cute fuzzy bunny View Post
Hey, whats the big deal.

If you have a good plan, theres nothing to worry about. If you didnt have a good plan, at least you'll know now what to do differently after things sort themselves out.

Despite all the hoo hah going on, and people in the financial business losing their shirts...most US companies arent financials and many are doing okay. Once the economy gets going again so will everything else.

My plan is fine. We're down six figures big. My wife is still working part time bringing in a few bucks and covering our health care with no chance of losing the job. We have a years expenses in cash. We have 3 years expenses in 6.25% cd's. Our funds will keep paying out dividends that are also enough to live on comfortably. No mortgage or other debt to worry about.

This too shall pass. My only regret is that I dont have a bunch of cash to bring to bear on this fire sale.

"Breathes there a man so small he cannot face the troubles of another like a good Christian"? Given that our entire stock portfolio is worth maybe a year or two of retirement annual spendings we are facing this kerfuffle with equanimity and good spirits. Now if our health insurance gets pulled away, or all the renters move out or stiff us for the rent, or our Chinese overlords call their loans and take the US as a package trade for what we owe - those things could affect us a bunch. Do notice that our property we listed with a realtor hasn't gone away yet, which means we have to keep being lanlords.....
calmloki is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 10-09-2008, 04:19 PM   #20
youbet
Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
 
youbet's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 4,385
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lusitan View Post
This market would be much more depressing without you guys.
Yeah.... just a gala fun fest here on the ER Forum!
__________________
Over all was the silence of the wilderness - Sigurd Olsen
youbet is offline   Reply With Quote
Reply