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07-04-2018, 09:40 AM
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#21
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Texas: No Country for Old Men
Posts: 50,022
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Quote:
Originally Posted by conway19145
So, common theme is to learn it all and do it myself.
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Yes, but the secret the financial industry doesn't want you to know is that the "all" you have to learn really isn't much, nor is it difficult to learn.
__________________
Numbers is hard
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07-04-2018, 09:48 AM
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#22
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Moderator
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 7,945
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While I completely agree with the advice to get educated on your own, there is nothing wrong with consulting professionals for advice. Fee-only planners can help you with asset allocation, general financial strategies, etc.
I find Kiplinger to be an excellent and trustworthy source of general financial advice. Here's an article from them on selecting financial advisors:
https://www.kiplinger.com/article/cr...l-planner.html
__________________
"One of the funny things about the stock market is that every time one person buys, another sells, and both think they are astute." William Feather
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ER'd Oct. 2010 at 53. Life is good.
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07-04-2018, 09:51 AM
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#23
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 11,078
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Ding, ding.
I'm pretty sure Bogle received death threats.
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07-04-2018, 10:53 AM
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#24
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Northern IL
Posts: 26,899
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And to put a finer point on that, all you need to know is that in the accumulation phase, a reasonably aggressive investor would probably be well served with an 80/20 AA ( 80% equities, 20% fixed income). You can do that with one Total Stock Market Index fund/ETF and one Total Bond Index fund/ETF.
You could get a bit fancier with some Int'l, some REITS, but it probably won't make any big difference in the long run. And that is so easy to DIY, it isn't even funny. Far easier than picking an FA.
Studies show that few FAs beat the market, and you don't know which ones they are in advance, so it's a moot point.
Quote:
Originally Posted by conway19145
I totally understand that. For me, though, performance is #1; Customer service is #2. Unfortunately, my finances are quite complex so I am in need of tax and planning professionals.
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As other's have said, for tax issues you need a tax professional, not an FA.
I'm confused about 'my finances are complex'? If this is due to a business, that's separate from investments. I fail to see how a business would change what you invest in outside that business?
Quote:
Originally Posted by conway19145
... I just bought an engagement ring so a house will follow and the one thing I have always wanted is a boat. So lots of planning needed! ..
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Well, an anchor came with the engagement ring, so you are half-way there! <j/k>
Welcome to the forum, and a Happy 4th to you too! (caught my typo to vs too)
-ERD50
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07-04-2018, 11:12 AM
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#25
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Portland
Posts: 2,038
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Hi Conway19145,
You may find this short book helpful. It goes over all the important points of the three fund index investing approach. It will be well worth your time. The book was just released so it won't yet be in libraries.
Best of luck to you.
https://www.amazon.com/Bogleheads-Gu...folio+larimore
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07-04-2018, 11:42 AM
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#26
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Dryer sheet wannabe
Join Date: Jul 2018
Posts: 16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ERD50
As other's have said, for tax issues you need a tax professional, not an FA.
I'm confused about 'my finances are complex'? If this is due to a business, that's separate from investments. I fail to see how a business would change what you invest in outside that business?
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Yes, I agree. I guess my issue with my previous/current situation was/is, is that my FA and CPA wouldn't communicate. It drove me nuts. I just want a clear-cut strategy that will work. Instead, I was a constant middleman conveying info. No matter how many times I made this clear, nothing changed. I guess, for me, when I offer a business service to my clients, I take care of everything so they have little to worry about. I also charge a lot for my services but people who don't want to worry about things, don't mind paying. I'd like to find someone with this mentality, but they seem to be few and far between.
When I say complex, I own a few corporations. Sure, they're self sufficient but I do occasionally make investments with a focus on growth. I have various retirement plans (Some of which have had to be rolled over or moved - which is where a CPA comes into play). I also have many sources of income. In addition to that, I own a few million square feet of real estate which are all structured differently. My annual tax return is grossly complicated because of this.
For me, saving 1% management fees comes nowhere close to saving .5% at work. That is where I spend most of my time and energy.
My girlfriend constantly yells at me for working a lot. But the difference between her and I is, she shows up to work, collects a paycheck and comes home. I on the other hand, have to no only worry about my best interests at home, but I have to worry about 1,000 others and their families. I have to worry about turning as much of a profit so I can fully maximize my exit strategy.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ERD50
Well, an anchor came with the engagement ring, so you are half-way there! <j/k>
Welcome to the forum, and a Happy 4th to you to!
-ERD50
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Haha!!! This made me laugh out loud. Thank you!!
I will take a look at the book that Helen mentioned.
Thank you all!!
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07-04-2018, 12:07 PM
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#27
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Northern IL
Posts: 26,899
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Quote:
Originally Posted by conway19145
Yes, I agree. I guess my issue with my previous/current situation was/is, is that my FA and CPA wouldn't communicate. It drove me nuts. I just want a clear-cut strategy that will work. Instead, I was a constant middleman conveying info. No matter how many times I made this clear, nothing changed. ...
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Maybe because there wasn't really anything the FA could do?
Quote:
Originally Posted by conway19145
... I guess, for me, when I offer a business service to my clients, I take care of everything so they have little to worry about. I also charge a lot for my services but people who don't want to worry about things, don't mind paying. I'd like to find someone with this mentality, but they seem to be few and far between. ...
... For me, saving 1% management fees comes nowhere close to saving .5% at work. That is where I spend most of my time and energy. ...
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Likely because you offer experience, and/or have tools or time to do what your clients cannot do, or at least you do it better than they can.
But that doesn't apply in most cases to an FA. The studies show that that there aren't stock picking tools or experience that works reliably - they can't predict the future. So you do better on average with the "Couch Potato" approach (but & hold a few simple broad-based index funds). It is so simple/easy, it doesn't take any special knowledge or time and anyone can do it. It's not about trading money for a service in return, it's about giving someone money, and getting essentially nothing for it.
I know it seems like a pro should do it better, like in most professions, but FA just isn't one of them (at least for the basic investment part of it).
-ERD50
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07-04-2018, 12:11 PM
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#28
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Dryer sheet wannabe
Join Date: Jul 2018
Posts: 16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ERD50
Maybe because there wasn't really anything the FA could do?
Likely because you offer experience, and/or have tools or time to do what your clients cannot do, or at least you do it better than they can.
But that doesn't apply in most cases to an FA. The studies show that that there aren't stock picking tools or experience that works reliably - they can't predict the future. So you do better on average with the "Couch Potato" approach (but & hold a few simple broad-based index funds). It is so simple/easy, it doesn't take any special knowledge or time and anyone can do it. It's not about trading money for a service in return, it's about giving someone money, and getting essentially nothing for it.
I know it seems like a pro should do it better, like in most professions, but FA just isn't one of them (at least for the basic investment part of it).
-ERD50
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I had to take annual disbursements out of my account with Morgan Stanley and my accountant called to notify them, but then my FA would call me to ask a questions, and this was the whole go around. My FA also made decisions that they shouldn't have (And more importantly, I shouldn't have followed their advice - totally my fault). So, in my opinion, there was a lot my FA could have done that didn't involve picking investments. Oh well. It was an expensive mistake, which I call, tuition. Live and learn!
Thanks for your help, ERD50!
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07-04-2018, 12:36 PM
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#29
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: On a hill in the Pine Barrens
Posts: 9,725
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Amen to that.
I'm trying to guide a young man as he recovers from a death, and opens his new business. He is very smart, but I can tell that he believes the sharks that circled his father really do have some secret sauce. He sends me 30-page MS slide shows. I try to begin with basic concepts, but he is having a difficult time understanding why simple is better. Another behaviour I see is that he just wants his "shiny things". The shiny things held by father are now a heavy weight on the estate. And the maintenance and carrying costs of these things were a factor in death at 55.
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07-04-2018, 12:45 PM
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#30
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Mar 2016
Posts: 8,968
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If your FA averaged 20% per year over the last 10 years he beat the market soundly.
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07-04-2018, 01:08 PM
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#31
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Dryer sheet wannabe
Join Date: Jul 2018
Posts: 16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RobbieB
If your FA averaged 20% per year over the last 10 years he beat the market soundly.
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But he has also made expensive (Careless) mistakes. I can't get an hour meeting for updates, planning or anything. It's incredibly frustrating. He performs but his service is terrible. I'm conflicted.
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07-04-2018, 01:18 PM
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#32
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: On a hill in the Pine Barrens
Posts: 9,725
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Quote:
Originally Posted by conway19145
I had an accountant who made numerous mistakes so I just hired a new one, so we shall see. Right now, my fees at Morgan Stanley are 0.9% and I have been earning on average 20.8% for the past ten years. Making 20% and not having to research, make phone calls, follow the market in-depth and ultimately, buy, is quite nice. I have a small real estate holdings portfolio so that is where I put my time and energy.
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Do you know whether the performance figure is based on XIRR or something like that. Different institutions have different calcs and name for the calc. It may be called personal performance, or something like that.
Since the 10 yr S&P 500 average return is a bit over 10%, getting 2X's that is fantastic.
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07-04-2018, 03:19 PM
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#34
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Mar 2016
Posts: 8,968
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I'd keep that guy doing my investments and hire another guy for advice. If the 20% includes his careless expensive mistakes he paid for those too.
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07-04-2018, 03:28 PM
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#35
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: May 2004
Location: SW Ohio
Posts: 14,404
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Quote:
Originally Posted by conway19145
Right now, my fees at Morgan Stanley are 0.9% and I have been earning on average 20.8% for the past ten years.
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That is worth a very hard examination, relative to applicable indexes.
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07-04-2018, 03:59 PM
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#36
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Thinks s/he gets paid by the post
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: Atlanta Suburb
Posts: 1,499
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Quote:
Originally Posted by conway19145
...... Are there any good excel sheets or calculators that you can recommend for calculating future value of money or retirement yields? Right now, I save about 30% of my paycheck and plan to do so for the rest of my life but I'd like to calculate A) What I will have and when so I know B) When I can make a boat purchase to sustain an upward trend in my portfolio. Unfortunately, my family history is not in my favor as most pass before the age of sixty. So, the sooner I can achieve my goal, the better. I'd like to at least enjoy a little bit of it
Thanks again, everyone!
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Welcome to the forum. The forum was originally established as a support group for the Firecalc calculator. You can enter the variables you mention*, including a future large purchase, and it will provide answers to your questions and more. Make sure to read and understand what the Firecalc results are telling you. They are based on certain assumptions like all financial calculators and it is important to understand the strengths and weaknesses of the tool. Members here will be glad to answer questions regarding the use of Firecalc.
*Since you have several businesses and real estate, you may need to make some assumptions on investment returns within Firecalc instead of using the set assumptions. But, Firecalc will allow you to do this.
__________________
"Oh, twice as much ain't twice as good
And can't sustain like one half could
It's wanting more that's gonna send me to my knees" - John Mayer
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07-05-2018, 07:58 AM
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#37
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Northern IL
Posts: 26,899
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Quote:
Wow, 20% per year compounded for 10 years is over 6x growth! SPY grew 1.6X the past 10 years. Amazing performance!
Love to see how that was done. edit/add: So maybe this was the Dave Ramsey version of "average returns", where a minus 40% and a plus 80% give you a 20% "average return", but does worse than the S&P?
Code:
1.00
0.6 0.60
1.8 1.08
0.6 0.65
1.8 1.17
0.6 0.70
1.8 1.26
0.6 0.76
1.8 1.36
0.6 0.82
1.8 1.47
1.2 < Average
Quote:
Originally Posted by RobbieB
I'd keep that guy doing my investments and hire another guy for advice. If the 20% includes his careless expensive mistakes he paid for those too.
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No, I'd dump the guy/gal. If he/she really did that well, I'd expect reversion to the mean. Get out while the gettin's good!
-ERD50
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07-05-2018, 09:39 AM
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#38
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: Pacific latitude 20/49
Posts: 7,677
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What kind of errors and what type of investments? Both are pushing credibility without details!
__________________
For the fun of it...Keith
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07-05-2018, 09:45 AM
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#39
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Moderator
Join Date: Feb 2010
Location: Flyover country
Posts: 25,362
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ERD50
No, I'd dump the guy/gal. If he/she really did that well, I'd expect reversion to the mean. Get out while the gettin's good!
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But you would have said the same in each of the previous years, so you would have missed out on a lot of gains. (Assuming they were relatively level).
__________________
I thought growing old would take longer.
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07-05-2018, 10:17 AM
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#40
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Give me a museum and I'll fill it. (Picasso) Give me a forum ...
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Northern IL
Posts: 26,899
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Quote:
Originally Posted by braumeister
But you would have said the same in each of the previous years, so you would have missed out on a lot of gains. (Assuming they were relatively level).
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Of course. But w/o a crystal ball, that is still the reasonable approach.
It's like saying buying lottery tickets is smart - after you won.
It's also assuming the claims are true. And if they are Dave Ramsey style 'average returns', the S&P did better anyhow!
-ERD50
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